How often are we folding here

2x pot size river bet. No history.


***** Hand History for Game 12266318584 *****
NL Texas Hold'em $55 USD Buy-in Trny: 74394304 Level: 2 Blinds(20/40)
Table $7,500 Gtd (2827226) Table #2 (Real Money)
Seat 7 is the button
Total number of players : 9/10
Seat 5: DimaDima13 ( 2,940 )
Seat 1: Koketka888 ( 3,000 )
Seat 4: WilelmSream ( 3,178 )
Seat 6: Yesss_ ( 3,102 )
Seat 2: billy_tha_kid ( 3,020 )
Seat 9: gintsg ( 7,060 )
Seat 3: mus1_k0n ( 2,720 )
Seat 10: raiserlight1 ( 3,100 )
Seat 7: Wetts1012 ( 2,960 )
Trny: 74394304 Level: 2
Blinds(20/40)
There is no Small Blind in this hand as the Big Blind of the previous hand left the table.
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to Wetts1012 [ Jh Kh ]
raiserlight1 folds
Koketka888 folds
billy_tha_kid folds
mus1_k0n folds
WilelmSream raises [80]
DimaDima13 folds
Yesss_ folds
Wetts1012 calls [80]
gintsg folds
** Dealing Flop ** [ 8d, 2c, Ah ]
WilelmSream checks
Wetts1012 checks
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5h ]
WilelmSream bets [140]
Wetts1012 calls [140]
** Dealing River ** [ 2h ]
WilelmSream will be using his time bank for this hand.
WilelmSream bets [975]
Your time bank will be activated in 6 secs. If you do not want it to be used, please act now.
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Comments

  • Are you suggesting you could be putting the guy on 3h 4h?
  • Jacen299 wrote: »
    Are you suggesting you could be putting the guy on 3h 4h?

    Think about that again and repost.
  • sigh call all day, I'm simply not good enough to fold lol
  • Folding? Never. Can't see me doing it. I'm at least calling for a third of my stack here, if not pushing, depending on what read I have. As you said, no reads, so I'm guessing we're either way ahead or way behind A2.
  • STR82ACE wrote: »
    Folding? Never. Can't see me doing it. I'm at least calling for a third of my stack here, if not pushing, depending on what read I have. As you said, no reads, so I'm guessing we're either way ahead or way behind A2.

    What hands double pot the river here that opened pre (that we beat)?
  • Wetts1012 wrote: »
    What hands double pot the river here that opened pre (that we beat)?

    Not many I grant you. Only thing he can have that would make any sense would be quackers I guess, but folding the nut flush isn't in my scope of game yet.
  • Wetts1012 wrote: »
    Think about that again and repost.

    Am I reading it wrong, 3h4h is the only hand you lose to right? He's clearly not giving up on a pot that he wanted to take down.

    He could always have 3h4h, but you can't lay down every time some one makes a move like this.
  • Jacen299 wrote: »
    Am I reading it wrong, 3h4h is the only hand you lose to right? He's clearly not giving up on a pot that he wanted to take down.

    He could always have 3h4h, but you can't lay down every time some one makes a move like this.

    look at the hand again and repost, last chance!
  • LOL so maybe he filled up
  • to answer question I can't see folding
  • I also couldn't see board paired. ;)
  • Jacen299 wrote: »
    to answer question I can't see folding

    Well before we come to the conclusion that "I just cant fold the nut flush", Id really like to try to arrange a hand range that makes this bet.
  • I think i'm making a crying call here
  • Wetts1012 wrote: »
    What hands double pot the river here that opened pre (that we beat)?

    this is what i thought, but i suck so i call and lose to boat.
  • crazykoby wrote: »
    I think i'm making a crying call here


    Looking at the hand again, i'm almost positive you're up against a boat. His betting on each street makes sense to rep a boat.

    what is your line of thinking when you called the turn?
  • crazykoby wrote: »
    Looking at the hand again, i'm almost positive you're up against a boat. His betting on each street makes sense to rep a boat.

    what is your line of thinking when you called the turn?

    Its river dependent. I have alot of good river cards and position.

    When he slams the river I cant assign a range I beat, and Im in the hand for 5bb. If he Vbets a reasonable amount, I snap call.

    If I got bluffed, NH villain. I put myself and his shoes and figured what kind of bet I would make with a nut hand in that spot. Overbet makes sense.
  • i guess you really are in your "location" atm
  • His flop check back and turn close to pot bet when a drawy card came suggests that he has a big piece.
  • now this is the kind of strategy posts we need more of around here.. Nice post Wetts... As AJ said, I'm not good enough to fold here, guess I just don't play enough...:(
  • Wetts1012 wrote: »
    Well before we come to the conclusion that "I just cant fold the nut flush", Id really like to try to arrange a hand range that makes this bet.

    22, 55, 88, AA, A2

    I fold
  • jdAA88 wrote: »
    22, 55, 88, AA, A2

    I fold

    Haha, wp sir. I agree.
  • Yeah two lvls in, if he is bluffing into a paired and flushed board for 220 of my chips with 975 of his, I say nh.
  • Two things come to mind. I think I would like to know at what point did you put him on a set. To say he raised with a pair is what % of the time and then hit the set? Two do you need to win this hand in order to succeed the rest of the tourny. As you say you are only in for 5 BB. I believe that a good player can make that bet with nothing trusting another good player can fold the better hand because he has been betting the whole way. The question you have to ask yourself is, does he believe you are a good player?

    In the end, I believe the little investment in the hand is not worth the call and I keep an eye on him ready for the next encounter.

    Prophet 22

    PS Sometimes I will pay that off just to trust my own logic in how I though the hand played out. Here I don't think is one of the times with such a small investment in the hand.
  • Two things come to mind. I think I would like to know at what point did you put him on a set. To say he raised with a pair is what % of the time and then hit the set? Two do you need to win this hand in order to succeed the rest of the tourny. As you say you are only in for 5 BB. I believe that a good player can make that bet with nothing trusting another good player can fold the better hand because he has been betting the whole way. The question you have to ask yourself is, does he believe you are a good player?

    In the end, I believe the little investment in the hand is not worth the call and I keep an eye on him ready for the next encounter.

    Prophet 22

    PS Sometimes I will pay that off just to trust my own logic in how I though the hand played out. Here I don't think is one of the times with such a small investment in the hand.

    Decision is based purely on river bet size.

    What I felt he had up to that point is irrelevant.
  • Having looked at villain's stats, he is a winning regular. Its a nice play on his part, either way, it makes it look like he's not afraid of the flush, and in fact looks like he is value betting if you made the flush.

    The only other hands I can see him do this with is weaker flushes. If he min raised suited connectors, he likes the heart on the turn and bets his draw. He can take the pot down there or if you call, he has outs. He hits his flush on the river, over bets to make his made hand look like a bluff.

    I won't like it, but I call.
  • Wetts1012 wrote: »
    Decision is based purely on river bet size.

    What I felt he had up to that point is irrelevant.

    I have an answer but gotta go to school. Will try at lunch and give you my thoughts.

    Prophet22
  • djgolfcan wrote: »
    over bets to make his made hand look like a bluff

    But this hand doesnt rep a bluff. It reps a hand that wants trip2s or a flush to sighcall.

    Like I said, if he has a bluff hand and makes it look like the nut, well played by him.
  • Wetts1012 wrote: »
    But this hand doesnt rep a bluff. It reps a hand that wants trip2s or a flush to sighcall.

    Like I said, if he has a bluff hand and makes it look like the nut, well played by him.

    What about a weaker flush ?
  • djgolfcan wrote: »
    What about a weaker flush ?

    I think a weaker flush vbets this and doesnt turn it into a bluff. Its def in his range tho, a very small% of time.

    Really the only hands that call this bet are minimum flushes, and spazzes that for some reason think he would make a ridiculous bluff in this spot.
  • Overbet anything really dicks with me... I'm super exploitable that way

    I appreciate this insight Alot, been looking for this sort of stray talk.

    Too often I think with emotion and snap think to myself "he's bluffing!" but when we sit down and really look at this hand it's a very clear fold.

    nf
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