My $7 spin n go challenge
I figured it was time to track this semi accurately. I'm going to play 100 games and report the results. Then if I can beat the insane lottery rake maybe I'll do a bap and maybe at a higher level.
I'm doing this on a Windows tablet low budget affair so I'm just going to take screen shots for tracking.
Today was a terrible start.
2x$28 - 1 win
13x14 - 2 wins 😠
1x4 - accidental registration but I won!
The 28s should run once for every 4 14s and the 70s should run once for every 9 14s so this was a bit below expectation. I expect to win around 4 out of every 10 so below expectation on 2 counts. Small sample size. Stay tuned.
Net for the afternoon - down $46
Net for challenge - down $46
I'm doing this on a Windows tablet low budget affair so I'm just going to take screen shots for tracking.
Today was a terrible start.
2x$28 - 1 win
13x14 - 2 wins 😠
1x4 - accidental registration but I won!
The 28s should run once for every 4 14s and the 70s should run once for every 9 14s so this was a bit below expectation. I expect to win around 4 out of every 10 so below expectation on 2 counts. Small sample size. Stay tuned.
Net for the afternoon - down $46
Net for challenge - down $46
Comments
16x$14 - 6 wins
Net for the session - down $21
Net for the challenge - down $67
My win rate is about expected. I think I can do a bit better and squeeze out one or two more wins.
I'd say we're getting screwed on the spins tho. The implied rake is insanely high for a no skill lottery. I would have expected to see one or more 70s by now and at least a couple more 28s. But it is still a very small sample and I DID hit a $720 on the $3 lottery before I started this challenge.
I'm a patient man. Up to a point
tapatalk puts this here to annoy YOU
From the math you have played 61 games?
Since the odds of hitting a $70 are 1 in 100, it's pretty easy not to see a $70 yet
You have also seen 5 $28s with a probability of hitting 1 in 18 so (61 / 18 ) = 3.3 and you have seen 5 (running hot in $28s
It's going to be a long road..
Also EV is pretty important in them you might want to track that if you ever want to make a BAP, would be hard to invest in someone that doesn't have any results on EV in a game where u can run 100 buyins over/under in EV in a couple days.
Just saying you are def not getting screwing and seeing more higher than expected numbers than you should see..
Just a heads when you are playing hypers making marginal mistakes (being off be like 2bb to nash or example) will be the difference between being a winning and losing player in them in the long run. It's a really sick game..
GLGLGL
thanks for the feedback.
you are right about the 70s. I still haven't seen one tho...
I should have said 42s instead of 70s. I haven't seen one yet! wtf stars? I should have seen a few by now?
last night was another shit show. the tablet almost hit the wall. then I won a few in a row but still lost for the night. either I suck at short stack poker or luck or spinning or all three.
what's the best way to track EV?
Does that count?
So total net, I lost $44. I also got 250 vpps which gets me halfway to silverstar.
77 $14
10 $28
13 $42
I won 30 of these so if I had managed to catch lucky and get some of the higher value sngs, I might have finished ahead. Statistically, on ave I should have won better than 33/100 so I guess a monkey shoving every hand would have done better than me. Sigh.
Also I repeatedly had computer troubles during about 4 sets of four that probably cost me several wins so probably if I repeat this challenge I should do better.
Personal evaluation: it's like crack watching the numbers spin and then disappointment when you 'hit' 4 $14 sngs at once. This happened 8 times out of 25, including my last 3 sets of 4, which probably kept me from finishing up on the challenge.
Yes, very busto. I had to bum a ride to the collection agency in Pkrfce's new 300S. Pics to follow for BF.
Stick to the topic at hand gentlemen.
btw, I here PJ is going to Atlantis over the holidays to help get over his financial crisis.
I haven't tallied up the last 2 nights but I'm sure I've finished the 100 and the results are shit. The effective rake has been something on the order of 10%. No doubt stars is cheating on these spins.
I played 5x$1 at once last night to qualify for another rigged freeroll. I thought they were all $2 spins. I lost 3 of them very quickly. The frustrating thing is you don't even get to see what the bad beat was. Then I lost the 4th one and won the 5th one and realized this was for $6. Kaching ! Insta profit!
GL tho.
:laugh:
I love the comment about the monkey! This is how I picture many of my opponents after seeing some of the plays ...
You got way more $42 games than the expected 8 but way less than the expected 18x$28s and a few more than the expected 73x$14s. In contrast I think I've only seen 1x$42! and no damn $70s for either of us 😕
Your effective rake is 9.33%, which is about 1.5% higher than expected given a fair distribution over 100 spins. Rigged obv. FU STARS! DOUBLE FU TRIGS!
I'll try to sum up my results today. I did far worse on the spins and also on the $. I just hope I can quit.
turns out i haven't finished the 100 games yet.
i'm playing much worse than a monkey. i'm working on my tilt play.
i'm getting screwed on the spins. 8% over on the 14s, about right on the 28s and almost 7% under on the 42s. i won't complain about the 70s until i get to 100 games.
my effective rake so far is over 19%! FU STARS! FU CHAIMR!
fucking rigged lottery.
I made a big score in the $15k all - in freeroll. Booyah mother fuckers!
Money going right out of the poker economy.
All in shoot out
4096 paid
========================
PokerStars Tournament #996736519, No Limit Hold'em
Freeroll
24517 players
$15000.00 USD added to the prize pool by PokerStars
Total Prize Pool: $15000.00 USD
Tournament started 2014/10/10 13:47:00 ET
Tournament finished 2014/10/10 13:57:29 ET
1: total_nooob (Slovakia), $1,500.00 (10%)
2: DzmitryRezko (Belarus), $750.00 (5%)
3: snake181985 (Greece), $303.00 (2.02%)
4: leafsmets (Canada), $303.00 (2.02%)
5: tafelpoot1 (Netherlands), $150.00 (1%)
6: SaugaCitay (Canada), $150.00 (1%)
7: andyhoward74 (United Kingdom), $150.00 (1%)
8: Bierbube88 (Switzerland), $150.00 (1%)
9: Barca1590 (Argentina), $75.00 (0.5%)
10: ReyDeManiel (Ukraine), $75.00 (0.5%)
11: wesleyvgr (Netherlands), $75.00 (0.5%)
12: markusd(!)89 (Austria), $75.00 (0.5%)
13: Léo Freymuth (Brazil), $75.00 (0.5%)
14: jreek (Poland), $75.00 (0.5%)
15: poliandrei (Romania), $75.00 (0.5%)
16: nord_pro (Russia), $75.00 (0.5%)
17: Gabranthe15 (United Kingdom), $37.50 (0.25%)
18: digby_stars (United Kingdom), $37.50 (0.25%)
19: tragodias1 (Greece), $37.50 (0.25%)
20: Gulasch15 (Germany), $37.50 (0.25%)