Was it the right play, or was I a Donk?
My very first post, gang. Greetings all.
The game was P/L Omaha 8b, a $60 satellite for the BC Poker Championships. The prizes were an $1100 seat for first, the remaining cash (a few hundred dollars) for second, nothing for third. Three players remained. Mr SB was to my right with about 15k after posting $800. I was on the BB for $1600, with about 12k. Mr Big Stack was on the button with well over half the chips. He folded. SB called, and I checked with 10c 10d 8d 3d.
Flop was 10s 7c 3h. SB fired, no delay, bet pot. After a little thought, I re raised virtually all in. He raised off my last few chips and exposed A 2 8 6 with the A suited. A 9 hit the turn, a K hit the river, and I was done in by his straight.
I figured him for the low draw, and I actually thought he had 8 outs for the straight, not the gutshot he made. I was pretty sure he would call my raise. My reasoning was that he had 8 outs to beat me for high, while I had 6 to the boat or quads, and I had him beat at as the card sat.... but I had no draw for low. I felt the chance of no-low (as it did turn out,) balanced that, but does it?
Obviously a call would only pot-commit me. But was the raise the right play? Or was I a Donk?
Any thoughts?
The game was P/L Omaha 8b, a $60 satellite for the BC Poker Championships. The prizes were an $1100 seat for first, the remaining cash (a few hundred dollars) for second, nothing for third. Three players remained. Mr SB was to my right with about 15k after posting $800. I was on the BB for $1600, with about 12k. Mr Big Stack was on the button with well over half the chips. He folded. SB called, and I checked with 10c 10d 8d 3d.
Flop was 10s 7c 3h. SB fired, no delay, bet pot. After a little thought, I re raised virtually all in. He raised off my last few chips and exposed A 2 8 6 with the A suited. A 9 hit the turn, a K hit the river, and I was done in by his straight.
I figured him for the low draw, and I actually thought he had 8 outs for the straight, not the gutshot he made. I was pretty sure he would call my raise. My reasoning was that he had 8 outs to beat me for high, while I had 6 to the boat or quads, and I had him beat at as the card sat.... but I had no draw for low. I felt the chance of no-low (as it did turn out,) balanced that, but does it?
Obviously a call would only pot-commit me. But was the raise the right play? Or was I a Donk?
Any thoughts?
Comments
Tc Td 8d 3d 195 675 134 11 0 115 0 0.534
As 2s 8c 6h 134 134 675 11 589 0 0 0.466
With :7c :ts :3h
Gives you 82.43% for the Hi with a 1.33% to tie
and 0% for the Lo.
And your opponent 16.24% for the Hi
with 71.87% for the Lo
So he was pretty much planning to chop the pot and got lucky hitting his slim Hi..
Actually... i'm not sure if that calculates a chance for no qualifying Lo hand... Either way you made the right play and got unlucky.