What's your move?
PokerStars Game #4636944861: Hold'em No Limit ($0.50/$1.00) - 2006/04/15 - 19:18:18 (ET)
Table 'Adelgunde' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: ulaanbaatar ($109.35 in chips)
Seat 3: Graul ($100.10 in chips)
Seat 4: SIDDALL ($27.85 in chips)
Seat 5: Ice B ($64.45 in chips)
Seat 6: danuk ($104.40 in chips)
Seat 7: MDSGuy24 ($155.85 in chips)
Seat 8: 50/100 ($35.15 in chips)
Seat 9: Jonny P ($42.35 in chips)
danuk: posts small blind $0.50
MDSGuy24: posts big blind $1
Graul: posts small & big blinds $1.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to MDSGuy24 [3h Qc]
50/100: folds
Jonny P: folds
ulaanbaatar: folds
Graul: checks
SIDDALL: calls $1
Ice B: folds
danuk: calls $0.50
MDSGuy24: checks
*** FLOP *** [7s 7d Jd]
danuk: checks
MDSGuy24: checks
Graul: checks
SIDDALL: checks
*** TURN *** [7s 7d Jd] [Qs]
danuk: checks
MDSGuy24: bets $2
Graul: calls $2
SIDDALL: calls $2
danuk: calls $2
*** RIVER *** [7s 7d Jd Qs] [Qh]
danuk: bets $5
MDSGuy24: raises $10 to $15
Graul: raises $25 to $40
SIDDALL: folds
danuk: calls $35
MDSGuy24:????
Table 'Adelgunde' 9-max Seat #5 is the button
Seat 1: ulaanbaatar ($109.35 in chips)
Seat 3: Graul ($100.10 in chips)
Seat 4: SIDDALL ($27.85 in chips)
Seat 5: Ice B ($64.45 in chips)
Seat 6: danuk ($104.40 in chips)
Seat 7: MDSGuy24 ($155.85 in chips)
Seat 8: 50/100 ($35.15 in chips)
Seat 9: Jonny P ($42.35 in chips)
danuk: posts small blind $0.50
MDSGuy24: posts big blind $1
Graul: posts small & big blinds $1.50
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to MDSGuy24 [3h Qc]
50/100: folds
Jonny P: folds
ulaanbaatar: folds
Graul: checks
SIDDALL: calls $1
Ice B: folds
danuk: calls $0.50
MDSGuy24: checks
*** FLOP *** [7s 7d Jd]
danuk: checks
MDSGuy24: checks
Graul: checks
SIDDALL: checks
*** TURN *** [7s 7d Jd] [Qs]
danuk: checks
MDSGuy24: bets $2
Graul: calls $2
SIDDALL: calls $2
danuk: calls $2
*** RIVER *** [7s 7d Jd Qs] [Qh]
danuk: bets $5
MDSGuy24: raises $10 to $15
Graul: raises $25 to $40
SIDDALL: folds
danuk: calls $35
MDSGuy24:????
Comments
it's true, Graul could have 77, but Danuk seems like he was slow playing a 7 which takes the 77 away from Graul's possibilities. The hand I would fear is QJ, but what the hey, if he has it he has it.
With it being 3 handed there's way more value to raising than calling.
What is result?
I thought long and hard about what hands Graul could have, I went over the betting pattern and figured him for either JJ, or J7. I slid my slider all the way to the right to push all in, then waited. I couldn't push. I figured I was beat, but I had to pay to see. I knew I had Danuk beat, I just called and Graul showed his 77 for the quads.
I normally would have insta pushed here, I think I am maturing as a poker player to realize when I am beat. Should I have just folded then? Knowing I was beat? I figured for $25 I was getting about 4:1 to call, and that made it worth it to see his quads.
i think you have to figure that the only hand that's raising you here is a hand you are chopping with at best... i FC, not folding though.
Wader
So where is your edge with the push then? Do you expect another Q to fold? I agree with the majority of the others with the bet/raise/reraise line, you can greatly narrow the 3rd raisors hand. At WORST he has a Q. You chop vs. that player, unless he has QJ in which case you lose your stack. Ditto for 77. No-one is likely to be calling with a worse hand to your significant reraise, so best case you chop. Additionally, if you flat call, there is a small chance you might get a weak overcall for 10 bucks more from a 7. I don't see much value in a raise here.