Who does the math anyway?
This might be a topic for the general section, but I respect the opinion of you guys far more than the average stranger.
The math crossed my mind a few times last night. Once when AJ raised taking away my pot odds, so the math told me to fold, and I did. Then I thought, the math always gets me in trouble, and I more often than not use it against players who do the math like religion (i.e. ugly cousin). Then later in the tourny it was very clear Justin burned his math book, and starting playing the man to man game.
When it comes down to Math vs gut which do you go with?
The math crossed my mind a few times last night. Once when AJ raised taking away my pot odds, so the math told me to fold, and I did. Then I thought, the math always gets me in trouble, and I more often than not use it against players who do the math like religion (i.e. ugly cousin). Then later in the tourny it was very clear Justin burned his math book, and starting playing the man to man game.
When it comes down to Math vs gut which do you go with?
Comments
I think the mastery of the game is knowing the math (at least having a good enough handle to approximate accurately) and then use feel to make up the ground.
Looking at some of the pros, they are all experts at reading people. They likely all know the math as well (to the nth decimal) but are able to remember your hands and tells well enough to not need to know equity at any given time.
Read the story DN posted about his hand at the RHPT when he figured a guy for K9 and was dead on. That is what makes him a winner.
The other thing to remember about math is that although it is correct in the long run, any one given instance can be the exception. This includes the one hand you should technically fold, but REALLY have a good feeling about as you are rampaging and rushing all at once.
I find it is good to know the math however because if you know you are playing against a math player you can use it against them by not giving them odds to call your bets, even though you may not have a hand anyways.
This is especially true if you have a non-obvious draw like a gapped-connector that turns into a straight. If you're drawing to a flush, it may be more obvious when you make it and your opponent may not pay you off. But if you're holding something like 96, and you complete a straight, they may not see it coming as easily.
If everyone is playing the math perfectly then the odds will work out to everyone having the same number of chips in the long run. The key is to break the math at the right time to gain the advantage against the other players. If that means playing 3 5 then so be it!
That is one of the most eloquent quotes i've seen in a long time.