BLUFFING DRAWING HANDS ON THE TURN
You’re in late position on a flop that offers straight or flush draws, and it’s checked around to you. Should you bet and try to steal the pot? A lot of times, sure. But if your opponents are smart enough to put you on a steal, maybe skip betting the flop and save your naked bluff for the turn.
Here’s the thinking: If you bet the flop, you’ll get calls from all those draws because with two cards to come they’re probably getting adequate odds. Either that or they just can’t get away from their hands. In any case, drawing hands will stick around; they might even be planning to check-raise you, to slow you down on the turn.
However, if you check the flop and the turn is a brick, then your drawing foes will be much more willing to release their hands, since the odds against hitting and the price of calling have both gone up. Your turn bet could look unabashedly like "pure real estate," and yet still get the desired result of folds from players who aren’t getting the right price to chase.
I know, I know... you don’t want to give free cards on the flop. But remember, you’re not driving the best hand here, you’re driving a stone cold bluff. What you’re interested in is selling the bluff, and a judicious check on the flop can set you up for a convincing bet -- or a cheap getaway -- on the turn.
John Vorhaus
what ya think? :shock:
Comments
The constant here is the draw your on. Does it have multi ways to win(over cards to the straight,flush). Say you hit your over card, then you can bet the turn again...Or if on a bad flush draw(two under cards), take the free card on the turn, and see what the river brings. As most of the callers that called the flop bet will have min. a pair. Not to many good players will call a big bet flop for a draw.
Limit is totally diferent, do you fell your bet on the flop will provide the same reaction(check to you on turn). If so, bet then take the free card you pay 1small bet on the flop to save the big bet on the turn(1/2 price card for argument) then hope to hit on river. Then you can maybe rack a few bets in that they fire at you on the river, thinking you have nothing.
My thoughts only in no way does this represent any player in any game.
Why do I like sometimes raising a draw, but I don't like opening the betting? In the latter case, you've already got a free turn card (well, at least if you're exactly last to act). This is also a nice example of keeping the pot small, so it will be easier for you to just fold on the turn if you miss.
However, I think the original post is about whether or not you should attempt a stone cold *bluff* on the flop or wait for the turn when you have nothing (not even a draw) and the flop contains drawing threats.
Also, it sounds like the original post was talking about limit.
I don't see how opening for a big bet in late position with a draw in no-limit is good. Pure bluffing can be good. Betting for value can be good. Betting a draw as a semi-bluff in late position when you could have taken off a free card seems like "turning a good hand into 72o". Or, it's one of those "don't make a bet if a raise will make you sick" situations.
Make a big bet in this kind of a spot with absolutely nothing, not when you're on a draw.
ScottyZ
Totally agree. Or, if you're on a draw and miss, in no-limit you can win anyways if you have a fairly good idea about what your opponent might be holding.
Example: Last night, $100 single-table sit-and-go at Stars. We're heads-up, and I'm leading. I pick up Js4s on the button at 400/800 and raise to 800. He calls.
Flop: As 5d 8s. He bets 400, I call.
Turn: 5c. He bets 800, I call.
River: Ah. He bets 800, I move in, he folds.
Normally I'd hate being such a calling station, but I planned to take it from him whether I hit the draw or not. That river card was perfect. I didn't put him on an ace even before the river card, because of the minimum bet the whole way. He was a true hand value player. I think he had a draw too--if he was feeling cheeky--or an 8.
Regards,
all_aces
nice! all_aces
do u remember his screename :?:
No, I'm sorry I don't. I think I got a bit off-topic in that last post lol.... but at least I bluffed a drawing hand on the river. Not quite the same as the turn though, and I was the one on a draw (although maybe not the only one).
Regards,
all_aces
it's all good