Rockets vs. Nut Flush Draw

IronDocIronDoc
in Online Poker
...just quickly, what are the odds of the draw occuring?  Villain had AJs and kept calling my raises (AA for me with no chance of flush) in a 3/6 LHE 6-handed game...I should note that 2 spades came down on the flop...he hit on the river to wipe out what took me an hour to accumulate...

Am I right to push the pot?

Bill

Comments

  • JohnnieHJohnnieH
    I believe it's 1 in 3 after the flop (33%), and 1 in 7 (14%) after the turn.
  • ol-stone-faceol-stone-face
    Actually would villain not have 9 outs after the flop? 38to9 (a little over 4 to 1)
    34.97% after the flop
    19.57% after the turn

    The x4 and x2 trick works good. After the flop = outs x 4 (approx 36%) after the turn = outs x 2 (approx 18%)

    Its not 100% accurate but always puts you in the right ballpark and any mistakes you make are minor.

    You made him pay for his draw so how can that be wrong. However if you capped the river then that's another story.
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