hand for analysis
Ultimatebet 10+1 turbo, 10 seat sit n go. Blinds are 10-20, everyone has 1500 in chips.
First hand, hero is in small blind with pocket 2's
UTG raises to 40
MP calls
button calls
hero calls
BB calls
flop comes J 10 2 rainbow
hero checks
BB checks
UTG bets 160
folded to hero who calls
BB folds
Turn comes 7 (i think)
hero checks
UTG bets 150
hero raises to 300
UTG hesitates, then calls
river comes K
hero bets 400
UTG moves all-in
opinions?
First hand, hero is in small blind with pocket 2's
UTG raises to 40
MP calls
button calls
hero calls
BB calls
flop comes J 10 2 rainbow
hero checks
BB checks
UTG bets 160
folded to hero who calls
BB folds
Turn comes 7 (i think)
hero checks
UTG bets 150
hero raises to 300
UTG hesitates, then calls
river comes K
hero bets 400
UTG moves all-in
opinions?
Comments
2. You flopped a set. Yay. I don't slow play a set with this board. He opened the hand, indicating either a big pair or some combination of high cards. AK AQ KQ all affort likely straight draws, so we must be wary of the turn for this reason, and if he did open with a pair he now has a shot at his 2 outer.
3. Good turn card. Why minimum raise? There is a lot of money in this pot, and with him leading into you and the pot being so large, there is a great chance he is going to call an all in right here with an inferior holding, and you are going to the river decisionless and a favourite.
4. You can't fold now. You have way too much invested, it is a TURBO and LOW LIMIT sng. At this point because you let him see every card in the deck with bottom set, you are pot committed and hoping you didn't let him river his set of kings to beat you, or his AQ to make his gutshot.
Bottom line, I make a bigger raise on the turn. If he flopped a bigger set on me I am broke, but he is not seeing another card for free. Because no matter how scary it is, the pot being as big as it is and the fact it is a turbo sit n go, I am not folding this hand on the river to any card unless I am 100% certain I am beat.
On the turn is where you should have moved it. If he was chasing a gutshot he probably wouldn't call.
If he does hit the straight, you let him.
We are not facing Phil Hellmuth and Phil Ivey. Chris Moneymaker... maybe.
Woohoo. I have no problem with the call. Good implied odds. And, woohoo you nailed it!
My preference it so bet out. You cannot win big pot unless your opponent has a hand. In this spot I almost always make a bet of 1/2 of the pot. Most low-limit players will check their set. The bet therefore is (1) more deceptive and (2) will tend to get him pot committed if he has a hand like Q-Q.
Be careful judging pauses online. He might be playing 4 games at once.
I would have checkraised more. But, that's dine.
Call. Your c/r on the turn was small enough that he might have called with A-K. With K-K I would have expected him to re-raise on the turn. So, I doubt he has K-K. It's possible that he has T-T or J-J. A chance I am going to take. Back to my first comment. This is a $10+1 sit-n-go. There are lots of players in these who will make some odd plays. I am calling.
My guess is that he showed you A-Q. See... should have check-raised more on the turn. Heh.
Well, it *is* Ultimate Bet, so it could be Hellmuth.
He's no Ivey.
The problem I have with this hand is that I palyed a very dangerous game trying to build a pot, and when a card came out that could be fatal, I rushed in without thinking. Better to push all-in on the flop and take down a $160 pot. My raise on the turn was simply to take control of the betting, but I did not want to scare him out since I did not believe he had a hand at this point. I was hoping that he would pair on the river and call my final bet. When he retook control of the betting on the river, I should have realized that I was beat.