flush odds

We all know how some people (ok, Shopsy and Tyson) love to play suited cards. Well, I was bored the other day and started doing some calculating. Flushes can be very interesting! I did all this stuff off the top of my head, so please let me know if I've messed up something. (I rounded my numbers a bit.)

Interesting facts:
* You'll be dealt suited cards about 23.5% of the time. Makes sense - you are almost 1 in 4 to get the same suit as your first card.
* If you played a suited hand all the way to the river, you'll hit a flush about 6.5% of the time. That kinda sucks but maybe that explains why flushes are a pretty powerful hand...

If you played a suited hand, on the flop you'll see:
* 3 of your suit just less than 1% of the time. About 1 in 120. Congrats! You just made your flush. Hope no one made a better one or draws out on you with the naked Ace.
* 2 of your suit almost 11% of the time. About 36% of the time when this happens, you'll hit your flush by the river.
* 1 of your suit just under 42% of the time. Oh dear. You'll only make your flush around 4% of the time when this happens.
* none of your suit more than 47% of the time. That blows. If you are playing 29s, you just threw away your money but at least you don't have to chase now...

If you played a suited hand all the way to the river you'd see:
* 0 of your suit about 27% of the time. WTF?
* 1 of your suit about 43% of the time. Meh.
* 2 of your suit about 24% of the time. Arrrrrrrrrrrrgh. :rage:
* 3 of your suit about 6% of the time. Woohoo!
* 4 of your suit about 0.6% of the time. Not a great time to be playing low suited connectors.
* 5 of your suit about 0.02% of the time. A very bad time to be playing 23s. This only happens on PokerStars and a Lucky Lou's Poker Tour.

Comments

  • pkrfce9 wrote:
    We all know how some people (ok, Shopsy and Tyson) love to play suited cards. Well, I was bored the other day and started doing some calculating. Flushes can be very interesting! I did all this stuff off the top of my head, so please let me know if I've messed up something. (I rounded my numbers a bit.)

    Interesting facts:
    * You'll be dealt suited cards about 23.5% of the time. Makes sense - you are almost 1 in 4 to get the same suit as your first card.
    * If you played a suited hand all the way to the river, you'll hit a flush about 6.4% of the time. That kinda sucks but maybe that explains why flushes are a pretty powerful hand...

    If you played a suited hand, on the flop you'll see:
    * 3 of your suit just less than 1% of the time. About 1 in 120. Congrats! You just made your flush. Hope no one made a better one or draws out on you with the naked Ace.
    * 2 of your suit almost 11% of the time. About 36% of the time when this happens, you'll hit your flush by the river.
    * 1 of your suit just under 42% of the time. Oh dear. You'll only make your flush around 4% of the time when this happens.
    * none of your suit just under 47% of the time. That blows. If you are playing 29s, you just threw away your money but at least you don't have to chase now...

    If you played a suited hand all the way to the river you'd see:
    * 0 of your suit about 27% of the time. WTF?
    * 1 of your suit about 43% of the time. Meh.
    * 2 of your suit about 24% of the time. Arrrrrrrrrrrrgh. :rage:
    * 3 of your suit about 6% of the time. Woohoo!
    * 4 of your suit about 0.6% of the time. Not a great time to be playing low suited connectors.
    * 5 of your suit about 0.02% of the time. A very bad time to be playing 23s. This only happens on PokerStars and a Lucky Lou's Poker Tour.

    hee hee... looks good!!
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