Noble Poker win 7 $10+2 sitngos win $1,000,000
in Buy and Sell
Anyone here even try to attempt this? If you don't know, noble is giving away $25K for 5 consecutive wins, $75K for 6 and $1M for 7 wins..
Next to impossible in my opinion!!! I was only able to win 2 in a row, but I could imagine how crappy it would be to win 4 and choke on the 5th.
I think its a pretty good concept, they make an extra $10 each game from the fee.. Dunno if anyone has come close yet, just wondering if anyone here has tried this $1,000,000 challenge..
Next to impossible in my opinion!!! I was only able to win 2 in a row, but I could imagine how crappy it would be to win 4 and choke on the 5th.
I think its a pretty good concept, they make an extra $10 each game from the fee.. Dunno if anyone has come close yet, just wondering if anyone here has tried this $1,000,000 challenge..
Comments
Assuming you are an above average player, maybe you have a 1 in 5 shot of winning a given SNG. (We are talking 9- or 10-seat SNGs, right?) That would make it slightly favourable odds to win the 1M. Worst case, it might take you about 800,000 attempts but hey, it's +EV. And that's not factoring in the thousands of $$$ you'd accumulate from failed attempts. This could be in interesting project for the next couple of years. I'm guessing this is a time limited promotion?
Now, if you could get a few buddies who are good players to work with you, I think you could cut that down to a few thousand SNGs. Of course, I'm guessing Noble might just keep track of who keeps tossing you all those chips on the way to your $1M...
The 5 in a row for 25k is seriously +EV given the above assumptions. Which I'm sure someone will point out are wrong!
I think you would need to change "above average" to "world class" for that to be the case.
If you change the assumption to 1.5 out of 10 this becomes a -EV decision (relative to deciding to play $10 + $1 SNGs)
Since the value p^7 comes up in the EV calculation, where p is the probability of winning a SNG, the computation is extremely sensitive to the value of p.
ScottyZ