NL Cash Game hand analysis
Very good 1/2 NL cash game – six handed
Utg limps ($200+) Utg+1 ($200+) limps two folds I complete in the small blind ( $150) with 98D BB (300+) checks - flop comes out 3D 10D 7C a pretty good flop for me. I check BB bets $7 UTG folds and UTG+1 calls and I raise to $20. I have a real tight image and check raise for that amount is usually going to take down the pot based on previous hands I have played. I was surprised when the BB and UTG+1 called, turn is a blank and I am first to act.
What is your move?
Utg limps ($200+) Utg+1 ($200+) limps two folds I complete in the small blind ( $150) with 98D BB (300+) checks - flop comes out 3D 10D 7C a pretty good flop for me. I check BB bets $7 UTG folds and UTG+1 calls and I raise to $20. I have a real tight image and check raise for that amount is usually going to take down the pot based on previous hands I have played. I was surprised when the BB and UTG+1 called, turn is a blank and I am first to act.
What is your move?
Comments
At this point, unless the opponents are wackos, I think I'm in big trouble.
The BB has indicated that he has something at least reasonable. If his flop open was just an attempt to pick up the pot on a raggy flop, he does not call the extra $13. Also, since your impression is that your opponents are folding too much against you for these kinds of check-raises, the BB calling here may even indicate more strength than usual.
The UTG+1 worries me more even though he merely called all bets so far. This probably indicates (unless the UTG+1 is some kind of calling station) that he either has a very big hand (i.e. a flopped set) or a drawing hand, a flush draw higher than yours being the most likely candidate for the latter.
If I was offered a decent price to chase the nut straight draw on the turn, I would do so. However, I'd be very leery if I made my flush, and I'd have to keep in mind that the UTG+1 may have me in deep doo-doo. If a diamond does come off, I may be facing a dangerous redraw, or already be drawing dead.
ScottyZ
here's how the hand played out; I checked BB Checked and UTG+1 bet $60 and I went into the tank and after awhile I mucked so did BB and UTG+1 took it down and showed two pair.
My thinking was similar to Scotty's especially since there we a third player involved in the hand. I figured my diamond draw might no be good and it would of been a mistake to continue.
Curious.. Isnt the $60 bet less than the size of the current pot? With 1 card to come, you have 15 outs.. About 34% equity in this hand.. I think it's safe to assume that someone will call an all-in on the river (the hands seem strong enough)...
So the pots $65 on the turn.. and you are looking at a final river pot of atleast $185 and maybe even $300.. about 3 to 1 at worst or 5 to 1 at best assuming BB came along...
It seems marginally profitable to continue.. *
* I'm not an NL player to take anything I say with a grain of salt.
When the BB stays in, you've got enough odds to stay just based on the straight draw..
Anyway, I dont think I like the automatic assumption that the BB is also on a flush draw. If you are both on flush draws, the most likely outcome is that you both miss..