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First hand FT
Std. shove? Is min raise call shorty's an option? Big stacks are reg's but not good enough to re-shove a wide range. Ever folding? I haven't put this in an ICM calc but I imagine a9s is a fold
Poker Stars, $7.34 + $0.66 NL Hold'em Tournament, 1,000/2,000 Blinds, 200 Ante, 9 Players
UTG+2: 49,221
MP1: 12,842
MP2: 43,016
CO: 13,187
BTN: 7,369
SB: 66,414
BB: 22,948
JodaB. (UTG): 30,868
UTG+1: 24,135
Pre-Flop: (4,800) T A dealt to JodaB. (UTG)
JodaB ???
Poker Stars, $7.34 + $0.66 NL Hold'em Tournament, 1,000/2,000 Blinds, 200 Ante, 9 Players
UTG+2: 49,221
MP1: 12,842
MP2: 43,016
CO: 13,187
BTN: 7,369
SB: 66,414
BB: 22,948
JodaB. (UTG): 30,868
UTG+1: 24,135
Pre-Flop: (4,800) T A dealt to JodaB. (UTG)
JodaB ???
Comments
I doubt this is an ICM shove given stack sizes. Personally, without doing the math I would 2.1x and call a short shove. I can't min raise cuz I'm not cool enough.
It would also depend a bit on table dynamics but I'm not sure if you know that much mass tabling.
HoldemResources.net: Beta ICM Nash Calculator
Attachment not found.
I am table dynamics
yes....but....looking at the stack sizes and with the players that were here, its going to be close to optimal to raise fold to the big stacks and just call the shorty's.
I might need more chips and slightly different stack sizes...but i think its close since nobody will widen there range when I min raise, and the big stacks are only going to re-shove a range that dominates us
That's was my first thought but aren't we giving up too large a %age of our stack by r/folding?
You would have to do the math by assigning a range to the large stacks that would shove on you and how frequently they would be dealt those hands and what you lose by r/f vs how often you steal then blinds and antes vs what you perceive as a shorty's reshove range and how you do against it when you call.
And that min raising utg look really strong here so everyone ranges are maximally tight
I don't play MTTS, but I am friends with a MTT pro and used to watch some of his online FTs.
Is UTG raise really perceived as strength these days? When I would watch him 1-2 years ago UTG was the new steal spot and I would think that players have adjusted to UTG raises with weaker shoves today.
I'd be interested in seeing the math on the 3 scenarios to calculate overall EV of min raising UTG, but it sounds like a large amount of work.
no one will ever do it, ha. actually people do it but its obv not fun. Best thing to do is to just ask a pro, keeping in mind any math done with icm is limited because icm has assumptions and approximations that make it not always correct....
maybe this problem is easier to solve than i describe tho
give me a hand %range shove from the big stacks and a hand %range shove from the short stacks and then we can figure it out
JodaB. (UTG): 30,868
UTG+1: 24,135 88, AJs+
UTG+2: 49,221 TT, AJs+
MP1: 12,842 77+, ATs+
MP2: 43,016 TT, AJs+
CO: 13,187 77+, ATs+
BTN: 7,369 55+ AT+ , KJs+,
SB: 66,414 TT, AJs+
BB: 22,948 77 , AJs+,
see you'd have to play around a lil. sometimes people will fold ajs. Some will re jam hands like 99 and ajo.
the bb will flat sometimes and check fold alot with hands like kq.
so we can argue and adjust but prob start there
will get this done tomorrow (hopefully)
From the OP I would be 2Xing and calling the shorts...it's final table, first hand...people tend to tighten the first couple hands while feeling everyone out. Granted I play more guaranteed mtt's than 180's...so possibly the dynamics are different...but still..
I personally don't think utg raises are as strong (by regs) as they used to be.
Really depends who the deepstacks are, I would def min/call some % as well. If the deepstacks are nitty randoms then probably min/call is best. If they're gonna be spazzing and making you fold the best hand some % of the time, then ramjam.
Basically yes. If you have 15BB but a bunch of ppl after you have 5BB it's more like you're shoving 10-12BB. Gotta kind of estimate the average of the stacks.
also do you have everyone on really tight calling ranges, because I think we can have that assumption here.
and with min raise folding, if we do fold and go through the blinds...we are gonna be left with a stack that we wish maybe we just jammed and took the risk with anyways