Here's some actual spew from last week
As the title said. I try to post things that get me thinking or that apply a concept that I'm trying to work on. Here this turn shove is risking 18k to win 18k so it needs to work slightly less than 50% of the time. I'm not gonna argue this is slightly spewy but on this flop I expect to get floats from quite a few A high hands and flushdraws ,I can also rep enough to somtimes fold out some 1 pair hans and maybe even small overpairs to the flop
So the question is, how often do you think a loose player is folding to this shove and where does that land my net EV for this move?
PokerStars - $10+$1|600/1200 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: PokerTracker - Online Poker Software, Player Stats Tracking & HUD
UTG: 20,924.00
UTG+1: 11,880.00
Hero (MP): 26,358.00
MP+1: 98,317.00
CO: 48,790.00
BTN: 74,952.00
SB: 79,660.00
BB: 89,177.00
UTG posts ante 125.00,
UTG+1 posts ante 125.00,
Hero posts ante 125.00,
MP+1 posts ante 125.00,
CO posts ante 125.00,
BTN posts ante 125.00,
SB posts ante 125.00,
BB posts ante 125.00,
SB posts SB 600.00,
BB posts BB 1,200.00
Pre Flop: (2800.00) Hero has :kh :6h
fold, fold, Hero raises to 2,880.00, fold, CO calls 2,880.00, fold, fold, fold
Flop: (8560.00, 2 players) :3c :4c :7d
Hero bets 4,800.00, CO calls 4,800.00
Turn: (18160.00, 2 players) :jd
Hero bets 18,553.00 and is all-in, CO calls 18,553.00
River: (55266.00, 2 players) :7c
Hero shows :kh :6h (One Pair, Sevens)
CO shows :kc :jc (Flush, King High)
CO wins 55,266.00
So the question is, how often do you think a loose player is folding to this shove and where does that land my net EV for this move?
PokerStars - $10+$1|600/1200 NL (9 max) - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3: PokerTracker - Online Poker Software, Player Stats Tracking & HUD
UTG: 20,924.00
UTG+1: 11,880.00
Hero (MP): 26,358.00
MP+1: 98,317.00
CO: 48,790.00
BTN: 74,952.00
SB: 79,660.00
BB: 89,177.00
UTG posts ante 125.00,
UTG+1 posts ante 125.00,
Hero posts ante 125.00,
MP+1 posts ante 125.00,
CO posts ante 125.00,
BTN posts ante 125.00,
SB posts ante 125.00,
BB posts ante 125.00,
SB posts SB 600.00,
BB posts BB 1,200.00
Pre Flop: (2800.00) Hero has :kh :6h
fold, fold, Hero raises to 2,880.00, fold, CO calls 2,880.00, fold, fold, fold
Flop: (8560.00, 2 players) :3c :4c :7d
Hero bets 4,800.00, CO calls 4,800.00
Turn: (18160.00, 2 players) :jd
Hero bets 18,553.00 and is all-in, CO calls 18,553.00
River: (55266.00, 2 players) :7c
Hero shows :kh :6h (One Pair, Sevens)
CO shows :kc :jc (Flush, King High)
CO wins 55,266.00