1st hand all in?

PokerStars Game #48566144190: Tournament #304061776, $3.00+$0.40 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level I (10/20) - 2010/08/23 15:30:01 ET
Table '304061776 2' 9-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: tallie979 (1500 in chips)
Seat 2: gerryzockt (1500 in chips)
Seat 3: Dyniaq (1500 in chips)
Seat 4: BILLYKING66 (1500 in chips)
Seat 5: x Tiger15 x (1500 in chips)
Seat 6: McAusland (1500 in chips)
Seat 7: pokkie99 (1500 in chips)
Seat 8: SirStallion (1500 in chips)
Seat 9: the1eyedjake (1500 in chips)
gerryzockt: posts small blind 10
Dyniaq: posts big blind 20
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to McAusland [Js Ts]
BILLYKING66: folds
x Tiger15 x: calls 20
McAusland: calls 20
pokkie99: raises 80 to 100
SirStallion: folds
the1eyedjake: calls 100
tallie979: calls 100
gerryzockt: folds
Dyniaq: folds
x Tiger15 x: folds
McAusland: calls 80
*** FLOP *** [9s Th 5s]
McAusland: checks
pokkie99: checks
the1eyedjake: checks
tallie979: bets 1400 and is all-in
McAusland: ...???

What do you do? Odds wise, not a great call but not a terrible call I think. Could be someone with AK thinking they're awesome. Could be QJo, Qs? Overpair definite possibility. Set seems unlikely. So, any thoughts?

Comments

  • For $3 I snap call this. You have an pretty good hand and some redraws. 9 player SnG? or MTT may change the decision some.

    AK I think is out. Maybe AT, AJ, or a poorly played overpair.
  • im calling.
  • Call, miss outs, repeat.

    Mark
  • DrTyore wrote: »
    Call, miss outs, repeat.

    Mark



    this 100%, call,squadooosh on all your outs, sigh and say rigged stars.:)
  • McAusland: calls 1400 and is all-in
    pokkie99: folds
    the1eyedjake: folds
    *** TURN *** [9s Th 5s] [2h]
    *** RIVER *** [9s Th 5s 2h] [As]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    McAusland: shows [Js Ts] (a flush, Ace high)
    tallie979: shows [Tc Ad] (two pair, Aces and Tens)
    McAusland collected 3250 from pot
    tallie979 finished the tournament in 27th place
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 3250 | Rake 0
    Board [9s Th 5s 2h As]
    Seat 1: tallie979 (button) showed [Tc Ad] and lost with two pair, Aces and Tens
    Seat 2: gerryzockt (small blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 3: Dyniaq (big blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 4: BILLYKING66 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 5: x Tiger15 x folded before Flop
    Seat 6: McAusland showed [Js Ts] and won (3250) with a flush, Ace high
    Seat 7: pokkie99 folded on the Flop
    Seat 8: SirStallion folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 9: the1eyedjake folded on the Flop
  • mbn, luckbox:wink2:
  • great result. nh
  • Yep..getting it in for 3 bucks all day long.

    nh sir.
  • Nice hand, but I'd like to know how you bubbled :)
  • If all your outs are good (and assuming you are behind), you have 14 (2xT, 3xJ, 9 spades). That translates into ~56%.

    Even given the results that you posted, you are still only 51/49 dog.
  • JohnnieH wrote: »
    Nice hand, but I'd like to know how you bubbled :)

    Hey, I didn't bubble this one! Actually snuck in for 3rd :) It was the early morning one I bubbled :(
  • Ya, I call here all day long. Worst case you're up against a set and only have 9 outs. Against TPTK or top-two pair you've got 12 outs (J's are good). Against bottom-two pair you've got 14 outs (T's also good). And you could be ahead already (how many times have I seen people shove with garbage in the first hand?). You might be a slight dog or a decent favourite, and if you win the hand, you've got a double-stack to work with. If you lose, start another SnG and run better next time.
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