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What are the chances.....
***** Hand History for Game 8575015710 *****
NL Texas Hold'em $9 USD Buy-in Trny: 48307982 Level: 6 Blinds(200/400) - Tuesday, November 03, 12:15:14 PST 2009
Table $5K Gtd (1784568) Table #5 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 9: Br_Elec ( 6,744 )
Seat 7: POSP68 ( 7,016 )
Seat 2: Wolle92 ( 21,735 )
Seat 5: andalf01 ( 2,394 )
Seat 10: angela67222 ( 4,862 )
Seat 6: HERO ( 12,260 )
Seat 4: jimmytedesch ( 4,260 )
Seat 8: klois ( 8,095 )
Seat 3: paolopirlo ( 7,915 )
Trny: 48307982 Level: 7
Blinds(300/600)
** Dealing down cards **
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HERO [ Kc Ks ]
HERO raises [1,500]
POSP68 did not respond in time
POSP68 folds
klois folds
fischchen__ has joined the table.
Player fischchen__ has been moved from table 27 to this table
Br_Elec did not respond in time
Br_Elec folds
angela67222 folds
Wolle92 folds
paolopirlo raises [2,400]
jimmytedesch folds
andalf01 is all-In [1,794]
HERO is all-In [10,760]
paolopirlo is all-In [5,515]
** Dealing Flop ** [ As, Qh, 5h ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 6d ]
** Dealing River ** [ 7c ]
paolopirlo shows [ Ah, Ac ]three of a kind, Aces.
andalf01 shows [ Kd, 9s ]high card Ace.
HERO shows [ Kc, Ks ]a pair of Kings.
HERO wins 4,345 chips from the side pot 2 with a pair of Kings.
paolopirlo wins 11,042 chips from the side pot 1 with three of a kind, Aces.
paolopirlo wins 7,482 chips from the main pot with three of a kind, Aces.
Player andalf01 finished in 253.
I had the villian on anything he was making some poor plays and my weak flop bet could of meant anything to him. The table seemed likely to lay down so I was looking for a caller. I know I could have laid it down to the re raise (or call) , not sure I would but my question is on a standard 10 person table, im utg, what are the chances with 9 hands to go and I have kings....someone has AA.
NL Texas Hold'em $9 USD Buy-in Trny: 48307982 Level: 6 Blinds(200/400) - Tuesday, November 03, 12:15:14 PST 2009
Table $5K Gtd (1784568) Table #5 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Total number of players : 9
Seat 9: Br_Elec ( 6,744 )
Seat 7: POSP68 ( 7,016 )
Seat 2: Wolle92 ( 21,735 )
Seat 5: andalf01 ( 2,394 )
Seat 10: angela67222 ( 4,862 )
Seat 6: HERO ( 12,260 )
Seat 4: jimmytedesch ( 4,260 )
Seat 8: klois ( 8,095 )
Seat 3: paolopirlo ( 7,915 )
Trny: 48307982 Level: 7
Blinds(300/600)
** Dealing down cards **
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to HERO [ Kc Ks ]
HERO raises [1,500]
POSP68 did not respond in time
POSP68 folds
klois folds
fischchen__ has joined the table.
Player fischchen__ has been moved from table 27 to this table
Br_Elec did not respond in time
Br_Elec folds
angela67222 folds
Wolle92 folds
paolopirlo raises [2,400]
jimmytedesch folds
andalf01 is all-In [1,794]
HERO is all-In [10,760]
paolopirlo is all-In [5,515]
** Dealing Flop ** [ As, Qh, 5h ]
** Dealing Turn ** [ 6d ]
** Dealing River ** [ 7c ]
paolopirlo shows [ Ah, Ac ]three of a kind, Aces.
andalf01 shows [ Kd, 9s ]high card Ace.
HERO shows [ Kc, Ks ]a pair of Kings.
HERO wins 4,345 chips from the side pot 2 with a pair of Kings.
paolopirlo wins 11,042 chips from the side pot 1 with three of a kind, Aces.
paolopirlo wins 7,482 chips from the main pot with three of a kind, Aces.
Player andalf01 finished in 253.
I had the villian on anything he was making some poor plays and my weak flop bet could of meant anything to him. The table seemed likely to lay down so I was looking for a caller. I know I could have laid it down to the re raise (or call) , not sure I would but my question is on a standard 10 person table, im utg, what are the chances with 9 hands to go and I have kings....someone has AA.
Comments
about 1 in 25.
Tourney is on Stars; fyp
I've seen AA vs. KK vs QQ or some other big three pocket pair combo dozens of times. Just last week I saw AA vs KK vs. 99 vs. 22 (the 22 folded after the third raise).
Mark
Such a weak player
If you hold KK, then the chance of an opponent having AA is:
= n * 6/1225 - C(n,2) * 6/1225 * 1/1128
where n is the number of opponents
so for n=9 you will run into aces ~4.38862% of the time!
Worked out for me in the end though, didn't it
Seriously, I did not see Greg's raise. Allen's raise I thought was the first raise and it put me all in, but when Kris cold called behind me, I knew I was drawing to two outs.
When that 9 hit the river, it was sooooo sweet.