$50+5 mtt snap fold set on river?

jdAA88

Villain is 16/8 over tiny 25 hand size-sample so basically no reads...do we really think he'd just call the turn with a FD?
Also, are most of you just flatting with JJ here pre?

PokerStars Game #30251873658: Tournament #176962809, $50+$5 Hold'em No Limit - Level II (15/30) - 2009/07/08 21:58:06 ET
Table '176962809 75' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: lokey05 (5640 in chips)
Seat 2: bratty thing (1025 in chips)
Seat 3: ChristaBorg (3000 in chips)
Seat 4: UhhMee (2725 in chips)
Seat 5: $uited Ace$ (3030 in chips)
Seat 6: Thoralf (3015 in chips)
Seat 7: GillespieAA (2875 in chips)
Seat 8: julesdAA (3100 in chips)
Seat 9: hotstuff38 (3165 in chips)
hotstuff38: posts small blind 15
lokey05: posts big blind 30
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to julesdAA [Jc Jd]
bratty thing: folds
ChristaBorg: folds
UhhMee: folds
$uited Ace$: raises 90 to 120
Thoralf: folds
GillespieAA: folds
julesdAA: calls 120
hotstuff38: folds
lokey05: folds
*** FLOP *** [6c Qs 4c]
$uited Ace$: checks
julesdAA: bets 210
$uited Ace$: calls 210
*** TURN *** [6c Qs 4c] [Jh]
$uited Ace$: checks
julesdAA: bets 550
$uited Ace$: calls 550
*** RIVER *** [6c Qs 4c Jh] [7c]
$uited Ace$: bets 2149
julesdAA: ?

Wetts1012

Flat pre is good early I think.

The only possible hand he has that plays it like this is AKcc so thats a pretty tight range. Its a puke spot but Im not sure I can get away.

If you're beat its more likely by QQ

actyper

He doesn't check/call that flop with AKc so I would rule that out, same with KQc. QQ would be really weird to play that way. I think you have him.

moose

Raise pre. Shove turn. Life simple.

jdAA88

moose wrote: »

Raise pre. Shove turn. Life simple.

Interesting...what is your reasoning for shoving the turn? I feel that by shoving the turn we're losing lots of value from many weaker hands that will fold to a shove, whereas by betting close to pot we keep in these weaker hands, like pps, even flush draws, that are calling the turn without getting the proper price for their draw.