Sports Betting Discussion

I'm going to start posting here regularly with regards to NBA/NFL/NHL bets (and MLB when season starts) so feel free to chime in. I'm mainly going to post for NFL games here as they only happen once a week which allows more time, but feel free to follow my progress here as well as my blog which you can access through my signature.

I'm no expert by any means, and I'm not going to encourage anyone to follow me as I have not had a big enough sample size to call myself a long term winner.

NFL this week:
Titans vs. Lions u44.5
Titans -11 vs. Lions
Cardinals +3 vs. Eagles
Colts -4.5 vs. Browns

Anything else catches anyone's eyes?

Adding Giants -3.5 vs. Redskins
Raiders -3 vs. Chiefs
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Comments

  • westside8 wrote: »
    Titans -11 vs. Lions

    Call me crazy... but I'm all over the lions this week... Tennessee finally lost, so look for them to coast into the playoffs... and this is the Lions only national TV game this year... look for a half-way decent showing from them...

    Titans 23
    Lions 16

    Take the Lions +11

    You heard it here first!
  • Call me crazy... but I'm all over the lions this week... Tennessee finally lost, so look for them to coast into the playoffs... and this is the Lions only national TV game this year... look for a half-way decent showing from them...

    Titans 23
    Lions 16

    Take the Lions +11

    You heard it here first!

    But also a chance for Titans to prove that they're a force to be reckon with after a lame performance last week?
  • Take the Jets -7.5 against the Broncos. Big line but the Broncos are running with their 6th string RB and the Jets defense will play Cutler as well or better than Oakland did last week.

    I'd beware of the Cardinals. They are a better team than the Eagles right now but they are traveling East on a short week. Tough spot.
  • Jags(+3.5) vs. Houston.. being a houston fan i'd love to say this is justified, but I dont see it. Only thing they have goign for them this week is its battle red day, and they usually play better on that one day a year.
  • Call me crazy... but I'm all over the lions this week... Tennessee finally lost, so look for them to coast into the playoffs... and this is the Lions only national TV game this year... look for a half-way decent showing from them...

    Titans 23
    Lions 16

    Take the Lions +11

    You heard it here first!

    Any chance of getting a MOD to remove this post!!! Thank-you in advance!!
  • Any chance of getting a MOD to remove this post!!! Thank-you in advance!!

    I was thinking of re-quoting it just for reference in the future...
  • Any thoughts on this weekends NFL playoff games?

    Is anyone crazy enough to take my Dolphins over the Ravens?
  • JohnnieH wrote: »
    Is anyone crazy enough to take my Dolphins over the Ravens?

    Not with the line at +3.5 right now.
  • I'll take Atlanta giving 1.5

    And Philly giving 2.5

    I'd just like to add that it's bullshit that the 11-5 Pats miss the party, while the 8-8 Chargers make it. My argument would be much better had the Pats not gotten pounded by them earlier this year......but c'mon....they should have gotten a commisioner's exemption or something.
  • JohnnieH wrote: »
    Any thoughts on this weekends NFL playoff games?

    Is anyone crazy enough to take my Dolphins over the Ravens?


    Don't like this game.....I'm staying away
  • T8urmoney wrote: »
    I'd just like to add that it's bullshit that the 11-5 Pats miss the party, while the 8-8 Chargers make it. My argument would be much better had the Pats not gotten pounded by them earlier this year......but c'mon....they should have gotten a commisioner's exemption or something.


    Way too soft of a schedule to garner any sympathy here.

    Also the Chargers lost on a fluke play in week 1 and got jobbed by Denver and the refs week 2. Add in the fact they had to play in London in the middle of the season I would say they are at very least on par with NE.


    As for this week.....lock Baltimore and Philly. I like Atlanta against the one dimensional Cards but wouldn't put any money on it, and the Indy/San Diego game should be great.......to watch not wager.
  • T8urmoney wrote: »

    I'd just like to add that it's bullshit that the 11-5 Pats miss the party, while the 8-8 Chargers make it. My argument would be much better had the Pats not gotten pounded by them earlier this year......but c'mon....they should have gotten a commisioner's exemption or something.

    A postseason without the New England Cheat-roits and the Dallas Backdoorboys is the greatest post season ever! Finally a really deserving team will get to the Superbowl (note: I know the Dolphins will get smoked by Baltimore on Sunday, so don't think I'm dumping on anyone personally)

    You're right, if NE had beaten the SD w, they'd be in.
  • JohnnieH wrote: »
    You're right, if NE had beaten the SD w, they'd be in.

    And they would have had 60 minutes of playoffs....not a second longer.
  • Trying to keep the roll going this week.

    Taking Baltimore +3 (and putting $10 on Superbowl winner while I can still get 8-1 with them.....I'm guessing it dips a bit after this weekend.)

    I'll go with Arizona +10...it's just too many points.

    Also Philly +4.

    I like the Chargers +6 but they are too Jeckyl and Hyde to bet on although the Ov 37.5 looks good to me.
  • 6.5 is the line for the Bowl...
  • Graham wrote: »


    Ouch! That's severe!
  • westside8 wrote: »
    6.5 is the line for the Bowl...

    I'd wait, I think that line will go up to 7.5 by the end of the week. I'd take the over in this game and take Zona to beat the spread and for the win. The money line should be worth it.

    stp
  • I agree with stpboy. Hopefully the spread number gets over 7. Currently on my book its still sitting on 7, half point more come one. Arizona currently getting 11/5 odds, lots of value there and not much with Pittsburgh. If I bet at all its going to be on Arizona.
  • As long as Kurt Warner doesn't come down with malaria or get into a car accident, there is 0.0% chance of the line moving to 7.5. Plenty of money has already been put down on the game and the line is very stable at -7 10/11 (with a couple places still holding out at -6.5 -$).

    If the bookies moved it to -7.5, everybody and their mother who got Pitt at -6.5 would jump on Arizona at +7.5 and the bookies would be wiped out if it landed on 7. In fact, the line would just move right back to 7 anyway because of all that action. I'm right there with you guys if it moves to +7.5, but it just ain't happenin'.

    Has anyone found an over on total turnovers and/or total interceptions? I don't really give a crap about the teams, so it would give me something to cheer for to the end.
  • They usually have propbets set up closer to game date...I know Bodog runs it but I don't think Canadians can play on that site yet.
  • As long as Kurt Warner doesn't come down with malaria or get into a car accident, there is 0.0% chance of the line moving to 7.5. Plenty of money has already been put down on the game and the line is very stable at -7 10/11 (with a couple places still holding out at -6.5 -$).

    If the bookies moved it to -7.5, everybody and their mother who got Pitt at -6.5 would jump on Arizona at +7.5 and the bookies would be wiped out if it landed on 7. In fact, the line would just move right back to 7 anyway because of all that action. I'm right there with you guys if it moves to +7.5, but it just ain't happenin'.

    Has anyone found an over on total turnovers and/or total interceptions? I don't really give a crap about the teams, so it would give me something to cheer for to the end.

    Yeah it looks like the line ain't moving. Excellant points on why its not going to move. Think I'll take a small sprinkle with arizona money line.

    On my sportsbook right now there is over 35 prop bets but no total turnovers or total interceptions as of yet. As westside has said maybe wait closer to gametime.
  • westside8 wrote: »
    They usually have propbets set up closer to game date...I know Bodog runs it but I don't think Canadians can play on that site yet.

    The last I checked canadians aren't allowed to play on bodog. The superbowl is next weekend, what about this weekend. We have the NHL all star game.

    Before the lines came out I thought I would go with the East but there only getting 7/10 odds. The West is getting 6/5 odds. Think I'll go with the west, don't believe there really that big of a dog anyways. 6/4 odds if they win in normal time.

    Anyone betting on this game this weekend and who you taking?
  • If you're gonna play, take the win in regulation.
  • westside8 wrote: »
    If you're gonna play, take the win in regulation.

    Hopefully you didn't take my advice on this one.
  • westside8 wrote: »
    Hopefully you didn't take my advice on this one.

    Yeah I took your advice and bet that one. Didn't hit it hard though. But I did hit on an in game bet where I picked the west to outscore the east in the second. But still minus money on the night. Oh well. They just about had it though.
  • So Im looking through my sportsbook and I have found a bit more prop bets listed. The only thing for turnovers I was able to find was 1.5 for total turnovers. The over is paying 1-1. There are so many prop bets on there now, it isn't even funny. Guess Im going to have to go through them all and see where the best value is. That could take awhile though. LOL.

    When I was quickly scrolling through I found one prop bet that I liked and tell me if any of you would bet this one. Im getting 13/10 odds on neither team scoring 3 unanswered times in the game. This one looks pretty good to me. What do you all think?

    Are there any other props that anyone is eyeing up on betting?

    Later
  • Some that I have heard that I agree with are:

    Steve Breaston under 4 catches
    Steelers +3 on 3rd down conversions
    Will either team hit a field goal from within the 10 yard line- Yes!
    Edgerin James less then 13 rush attempts
    Kurt Warner -24 yards vs. Ben Rothles....


    stp
  • mynick71 wrote: »
    Im getting 13/10 odds on neither team scoring 3 unanswered times in the game.

    That doesn't sound too bad. I'd certainly lean that way vs. the opposite given those odds.

    I generally hate laying significant money on football bets, but Kurt Warner to throw at least one interception at -209 really piques my interest.
  • stpboy wrote: »
    Some that I have heard that I agree with are:

    Steve Breaston under 4 catches
    Steelers +3 on 3rd down conversions
    Will either team hit a field goal from within the 10 yard line- Yes!
    Edgerin James less then 13 rush attempts
    Kurt Warner -24 yards vs. Ben Rothles....


    stp


    Well, just for fun lets see how I would have done if I would have made the bets I had faith in...

    Breaston under 4 catches - WRONG! (had 6)
    Steelers over 3 successfull 3rd down conversions - RIGHT! (4/10)
    Field goal within the 10- RIGHT! (Jeff Reed hit a 21 & 18 yarder)
    Edge less than 13 rush attempts - RIGHT! (Had 9)
    Kurt Warner -24.5 yards vs Big Ben - RIGHT!! (This pick was really a no brainer, Kurt 377 vs. Ben 256)

    Next year, I make bets. What a great superbowl!

    stp
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