the Probet thread

ok
here is the list
ReefAquarium $20
MarcoGD $20
Cadillac $20
Str82ace $20
Wetts1012 $20
Ihaveeyournmane $20
actyper $20
GRAHAM $20
The deal
i will make $1000 on $3.30 KO 90 man Tourny, and I must do it within 120 games.
if i did it, i collect money from above player, is not, i have to pay them.
statis report.
Day 1
1st game, shot down. (i think this bet has change my play to "made to the money" game...good thing i caught it fast)
2nd game 9th place. make 6.75
3rd game Titling from running bad at cash game, burst out like 60something.
progess report.
invest $9.90 make $6.75 = - $3.15 in the hole.
so $1003.15 closer to the winning line. (FCK)
only 117 try left.
«1

Comments

  • so you have to average something like 300% ROI over 100+ games?

    hmmm, i wonder why all these guys are betting against you? what kind of odds are they offering you? 10-1 or better?
  • I will take a buy out for $19.95

    Offer stands until Noon today.
  • Day 2
    i play 2 game
    1st game, burst out, because i run so bad at cash game....
    2nd game. turn all the cashgame off. come in 2nd place with $43.88
    Total invest $6.60
    won $37.28
    Progressive $ 965.87 with 115 game to go.
    just to note: i should of won the first place.
    Back to back AA crack...........
  • cadillac wrote: »
    Updates????
    hell has freeze over.
    getting it on the bad side of variance.
    set over set beat
    flush over flush beat
    runner runner over set beat
    set over overpair beat
    but those were ok...they were coolers.
    what i really hate.
    keep getting 2 or 3 outter beat like A2 vs KK, J3 vs AA...etc

    progress
    games left 96
    need $965 profit needed to win the probet.
    so i actually took at $0.87 hit on the progress bar.
  • man how did I miss out on this?
  • pkrfce9 wrote: »
    so you have to average something like 300% ROI over 100+ games?

    hmmm, i wonder why all these guys are betting against you? what kind of odds are they offering you? 10-1 or better?


    Have you ever heard of running good. It's the same as the guy on the phone who will give you the 6 game football parlay as a sure winner. If I could pick a 6 game parlay guaranteed I wouldn't tell anyone I'd be hammering it myself.
  • AcidJoe wrote: »
    Have you ever heard of running good.
    sure. so basically, he has to be incredibly lucky to win this bet. skill has nothing to do with it. sounds like a plan.
  • moose wrote: »
    man how did I miss out on this?

    LOL I've been wondering the same thing.
  • Rough day yesterday huh.
  • hell has freeze over.
    getting it on the bad side of variance.
    set over set beat
    flush over flush beat
    runner runner over set beat
    set over overpair beat
    but those were ok...they were coolers.
    what i really hate.
    keep getting 2 or 3 outter beat like A2 vs KK, J3 vs AA...etc

    progress
    games left 96
    need $965 profit needed to win the probet.
    so i actually took at $0.87 hit on the progress bar.

    C'mon, don't let one bad day get you down. Here's something to motivate you...

    YouTube - You can do it montage.
  • HELL...if The Fonz says you can do it, maybe I should kiss my $20 goodbye now.
  • hey guys
    need some help
    i may need to change my game plan
    my original i have two game plan.
    1. go for 1st, and take 15 down to win.
    2. go for the ITM. 40% ITM would allow me to win this too.
    i didn't think 15 1st place in 120 games is that hard a target.
    so i have been playing to win.
    now i am force to reconsider this game plan.
    if i gone with plan #2
    i would have at least over $100 in profit which is alot better then what i have done so far.
    in this best interest of propbet
    what's your expert opinion?
    game plan #1 or Game plan #2
  • Gameplan is always go for the top few spots. If you went for gameplan #2, maybe you wouldn't have gotten the 2nd place. I really can't see how you come up with a $1k profit just 40% ITM. ITM is really a useless stat IMO, probably makes you a worse player trying to increase this number.
  • I'll assume by the lack of updates that this isn't going so well ;)
  • Chuckie,

    I'm going to offer you some relief here.

    You have 81 games to go, and need to win $980 for the original bet.
    So you played 39 - profit $20

    I will offer you a second $20 bet if you cross $500 by the time the bet ends (81 remaining). So if you hit $500 profit, we are even.

    If you fail to hit the $500 - you ship me $40.

    Let me know.
  • hmmm that's only a 200% roi. i'll take some of that action, sucker, or is it sucre...
  • 200% < 300% imo, so good dealz!
  • quit taking advantage of the frenchies. if we aren't careful they'll want a referundum on online poker.

    wait, he's not french - he just sounds like it. never mind.
  • pkrfce9 wrote: »
    quit taking advantage of the frenchies. if we aren't careful they'll want a referundum on online poker.

    wait, he's not french - he just sounds like it. never mind.

    Wait.

    Wat.

    Whos getting taken advantage of here.

    I dont even know what a probet is? Im the victim.
  • To quote Sharkscope,

    Hero is on "Super Tilt".

    I also assume a red number is a negative number? 1 step forward, 2 steps back.
  • Best investment I made in months! ;)

    Chuckie, how about updating us all on your current stats?
  • Wetts1012 wrote: »
    To quote Sharkscope,

    Hero is on "Super Tilt".

    LMAO... I guess that means we are winning?
  • STR82ACE wrote: »
    Best investment I made in months! ;)

    Chuckie, how about updating us all on your current stats?

    i still have 39 game left......
    new goal, make $160 to pay for the probet....
    guy, wanna cut me some stack?
    for tourny that i bust out when villian hit that 2 outter or less, can i get a free shot? (that mean thosetourny don't count)
  • Games Played: 614
    Total Profit: $2.

    I didnt major in math but Im pretty sure this one is in tha bag.
  • What network is he playing and what's his user name? I see a chuckieland on ftp but he's only played 45 games less than $10
  • Allyasia, FTP.
  • How can I get in on this +EV "probet"?

    P.S. What is a probet? ;)
    new goal, make $160 to pay for the probet....
  • BlondeFish wrote: »

    P.S. What is a probet? ;)


    It's french for Break even.
  • According to the numbers this officially ended last night (I think).

    Ship it?
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