I am a little torn on this one. I was having a hard time deciding on which way to play this situation.
-30 person live $50 NLHE tourney, about 1/4 of the way into it
-I share the chip lead at my table with about 6500
-QQ mid position
-UTG is super tight, hasn't won a hand yet all night
-UTG limps in for 100
-a few folds
-I raise 300 on top
-small blind raises it to 1200 (he is the other chip leader at the table)
-UTG goes all in for about 1600 total
Now I think there's a real good chance UTG has me beat with KK or AA, I'd say like 80% or so. I have played him many times and I am pretty sure about this. 20% he has AK suited and it's a race.
I am not sure what SB has. I have seen him play AK and mid pairs very aggressively. I get the feeling from his reactions that he will call my all in if I go over the top but given how I had seen him play I can expect him to do this with a fairly wide range of hands. It would be hard to put him on just AA or KK or AK.
So figuring if you go all in he will call what is your move?
1) Push all in. If you win the pot with SB you will win a 10,000 pot. If you can grab the pot that UTG has it will be a 15,000 pot. For me that is enough chips to get myself in the money at this tournament.
2) Fold. You are only in the pot for 400. You know UTG has you beat and you are unable to see where you stand against SB. You have enough chips to find a better fight later.
3) Call. See the flop and play from there.
I tend to usually opt for 2) here. But I also tend to consistantly get to the final table but usually with few chips. I have been pressuring myself to find opportunities worth taking earlier to grab enough chips to get to the money or go home early. But of couse only to some extent, there is a balance in there.
What would you do and why?
-30 person live $50 NLHE tourney, about 1/4 of the way into it
-I share the chip lead at my table with about 6500
-QQ mid position
-UTG is super tight, hasn't won a hand yet all night
-UTG limps in for 100
-a few folds
-I raise 300 on top
-small blind raises it to 1200 (he is the other chip leader at the table)
-UTG goes all in for about 1600 total
Now I think there's a real good chance UTG has me beat with KK or AA, I'd say like 80% or so. I have played him many times and I am pretty sure about this. 20% he has AK suited and it's a race.
I am not sure what SB has. I have seen him play AK and mid pairs very aggressively. I get the feeling from his reactions that he will call my all in if I go over the top but given how I had seen him play I can expect him to do this with a fairly wide range of hands. It would be hard to put him on just AA or KK or AK.
So figuring if you go all in he will call what is your move?
1) Push all in. If you win the pot with SB you will win a 10,000 pot. If you can grab the pot that UTG has it will be a 15,000 pot. For me that is enough chips to get myself in the money at this tournament.
2) Fold. You are only in the pot for 400. You know UTG has you beat and you are unable to see where you stand against SB. You have enough chips to find a better fight later.
3) Call. See the flop and play from there.
I tend to usually opt for 2) here. But I also tend to consistantly get to the final table but usually with few chips. I have been pressuring myself to find opportunities worth taking earlier to grab enough chips to get to the money or go home early. But of couse only to some extent, there is a balance in there.
What would you do and why?
Comments
I would probably fold JJ- here, but with QQ, if they both have AK, or even AK & AQ/AJ/AT they already have each others outs covered which increases your odds and you are in really good shape. If they both have AK, you are just over 60% to win the entire pot. Also just winning the side pot would be fine, even if you lose the 1600 to UTG.
Maybe someone could stove some of the other combos (like the SB having a smaller pocket pair, etc).
I think you can fold your QQ here and feel good about it.
When he initially limped from UTG my radar went off. 100 chips of 1600 with a mediocre hand just hoping no one raises on the way around is not his game. I made a standard raise waiting to see what he would do. When SB raised it up again UTG lit up like it was Christmas morning. He quickly and confidently went all in. I have a pretty good eye for finding big pockets out there and I was quite certain that's what he had. He would not do that with JJ. I can't put him on QQ since I have two. So that leaves me in a lot of trouble. The only other hand I can put him on possibly is AK suited but given his style he would not be so confident about it. I could tell he couldn't beleive his luck to finally get a hand and to get full out action on it too. That's why I was quite certain he had AA or KK. This was a real strong read.
I probably still push, looking for the call behind to win a massive side pot. If the AA/KK read is good and the feeling of a call behind here is strong, then you have the SB down to 4 outs (or less if he has something like AQ/AJ or a smaller pp).
Take out the strong reads on a player you know well, what would you do here in an online SnG in the $10-$20 range?
FOLD
So there's 2 pots , You're putting 1600 into the main and 4900 into the side.
You probably have about 1/4 equity in the main pot.
For the side pot what range do you put the sb on? vs AK you're a bit better than even. Will he have less than QQ often enough to make up the equity you lose calling the UTG?
Your OP seems to imply that he'll play mid pairs aggressively but I can't see anyone calling with 88-TT here.
Is the sb a total moron that he would make the call with 88-TT often enough to make up for the equity you lose calling the main pot?
You say you think he will call....
Have you ever seen him call a 4th raise with JJ or less????
Not to mention I had already put UTG on AA or KK. It's awefully difficult to put another player on one of those two hands on top of that. Of course that is my fear here though.
So part of me wanted to put both of them on AA or KK... but man that's hard to do. So there's 2 hands SB could have that put me in a lot of trouble and 3 others I'm sure he'd follow me in with plus a couple more he might. Then consider that some of his outs are likely sitting in my and/or UTGs hands.
I pushed. I think I am still comfortable with either decision 1) or 2).
UTG turned over pocket rockets and SB turned over pocket cowboys.
Doesn't happen too often but sometimes the stars just line up and you see the top three pairs battle it out.
I didn't get any help either. The Aces held up for the first pot as did the kings for the side pot.