Was this the correct play in this situation?
I don't plan on making a habit of playing MTTs but in order to become a better poker player, I would like to know if my thought process in this situation was correct.
Table: 47 (Real Money) Seat #9 is the dealer
Seat 2 - BOXERSCOTT1 ($2993.33 in chips)
Seat 3 - CAD290 ($4085 in chips)
Seat 4 - MKNMONY06 ($5613.34 in chips)
Seat 5 - RUSSMAN300 ($1661.67 in chips)
Seat 6 - GIGASTUD ($4900 in chips)
Seat 7 - SHAKKA ($310 in chips)
Seat 8 - RICKSHEEN ($3366.66 in chips)
Seat 9 - ORGASMATRON ($1370 in chips)
BOXERSCOTT1 - Posts small blind $50
CAD290 - Posts big blind $100
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to ORGASMATRON [9h 9s]
MKNMONY06 - Folds
RUSSMAN300 - Calls $100
GIGASTUD - Folds
SHAKKA - Folds
RICKSHEEN - Calls $100
I was pretty much completely card dead this tournament. 54 minutes into it and I had only 2 playable hands. (One of which was AA UTG and I still got two callers after folding every hand for the first 33 minutes *shrug*)
Based on the previous action at the table, I put at least one of the limpers on Ace-rag. The other could've also had Ace-rag but possibly could've had two overcards (but not an ace). Although something like K8 or Q7 wasn't out of the question either. (Yeah, I saw some pretty atrocious hands being played.)
Since I was card dead, I figured this was probably going to be my best hand in the best position before the break. Then the blinds would go up and I'd really be short stacked. Unless the EP limper was playing possum, I was pretty confident he'd fold to a raise unless he had a suited Ace-rag, then he might call. However, I thought that the LP limper would call no matter what, especially if he had ace-rag (suited or not).
I decided that a normal raise was out of the question because if (okay, when) I missed the flop I would have to fold because I wouldn't know which overcard(s) I was against. Also, there was the very slight possibility that the EP limper would call a 3xBB raise. Since folding what was almost certainly the best hand at that point was inconceivable, I decided to push.
My reasoning was the the EP limper would most likely fold since he would be crippled if he called. (Or eliminated if he called then the LP limper re-raised him all-in). That would leave me with just the LP limper.
Best case scenario: he'd have ace-rag and I'd be a 70% favourite to win.
Worst case scenario: he'd have two overcards and I'd be slightly better than a coin-flip.
Not so great scenario: both would call and I'd have to dodge three overcards but I'd have a 33% chance to triple up.
However, I was fairly confident that I'd be against the LP limper and that he most likely had ace-rag. Finally getting to the punchline ... I pushed, everyone folded except the LP limper who called with A5o and flopped an ace.
Was my thought process in this situation correct? If not, what other factors should I have considered? If this was a bad play, I would like to know so I don't repeat it.
Table: 47 (Real Money) Seat #9 is the dealer
Seat 2 - BOXERSCOTT1 ($2993.33 in chips)
Seat 3 - CAD290 ($4085 in chips)
Seat 4 - MKNMONY06 ($5613.34 in chips)
Seat 5 - RUSSMAN300 ($1661.67 in chips)
Seat 6 - GIGASTUD ($4900 in chips)
Seat 7 - SHAKKA ($310 in chips)
Seat 8 - RICKSHEEN ($3366.66 in chips)
Seat 9 - ORGASMATRON ($1370 in chips)
BOXERSCOTT1 - Posts small blind $50
CAD290 - Posts big blind $100
*** POCKET CARDS ***
Dealt to ORGASMATRON [9h 9s]
MKNMONY06 - Folds
RUSSMAN300 - Calls $100
GIGASTUD - Folds
SHAKKA - Folds
RICKSHEEN - Calls $100
I was pretty much completely card dead this tournament. 54 minutes into it and I had only 2 playable hands. (One of which was AA UTG and I still got two callers after folding every hand for the first 33 minutes *shrug*)
Based on the previous action at the table, I put at least one of the limpers on Ace-rag. The other could've also had Ace-rag but possibly could've had two overcards (but not an ace). Although something like K8 or Q7 wasn't out of the question either. (Yeah, I saw some pretty atrocious hands being played.)
Since I was card dead, I figured this was probably going to be my best hand in the best position before the break. Then the blinds would go up and I'd really be short stacked. Unless the EP limper was playing possum, I was pretty confident he'd fold to a raise unless he had a suited Ace-rag, then he might call. However, I thought that the LP limper would call no matter what, especially if he had ace-rag (suited or not).
I decided that a normal raise was out of the question because if (okay, when) I missed the flop I would have to fold because I wouldn't know which overcard(s) I was against. Also, there was the very slight possibility that the EP limper would call a 3xBB raise. Since folding what was almost certainly the best hand at that point was inconceivable, I decided to push.
My reasoning was the the EP limper would most likely fold since he would be crippled if he called. (Or eliminated if he called then the LP limper re-raised him all-in). That would leave me with just the LP limper.
Best case scenario: he'd have ace-rag and I'd be a 70% favourite to win.
Worst case scenario: he'd have two overcards and I'd be slightly better than a coin-flip.
Not so great scenario: both would call and I'd have to dodge three overcards but I'd have a 33% chance to triple up.
However, I was fairly confident that I'd be against the LP limper and that he most likely had ace-rag. Finally getting to the punchline ... I pushed, everyone folded except the LP limper who called with A5o and flopped an ace.
Was my thought process in this situation correct? If not, what other factors should I have considered? If this was a bad play, I would like to know so I don't repeat it.
Comments
On the other hand, you aren't under extreme pressure from the blinds yet. With position, you could put in a small raise and still not be committed. You would still likely be heads up, take the flop and see how your opponent reacts to it. When the Ace comes, you have the luxury of deciding if it helped him before you commit. If no Ace comes, he is not nearly as likely to call any reasonable flop bet.
Nice reads on your opponents though. Just crappy he caught his outs.
Being card dead is ugly. Have to work on ways of opening up your game abit earlier maybe, and taking more chances.
In my limited experience at the micro limit (< $5) MTTs I find that the play during the first hour is really atrocious. I play much tighter than I normally would because there is so much random garbage being played it's hard to tell if you're way ahead or way behind.
Being card dead during the first hour doesn't bother me too much since I have so little invested. During the later hours I can use my stack size, position and table image more effectively if I get an extended run of bad cards.
If you're worried about losing a couple of bucks in these games by playing tight early, sure go ahead...just means you'll be behind later on in the match.
For the micro games, I like to open up early, try to double or triple up early, and then start bullying abit. I can also start to play tighter after I have a decent chip stack later on, and pick and choose my hands after I get decent reads.
Doubling up early is NOT playing less intelligently IMHO. For the cost of the tourney, I'm not to worried about getting bumped out. Just have to get into another one in a couple of minutes.
I was never short stacked so I was able to steal some pots that I wouldn't have been able to with my usual tight play.
Definitely a much better strategy that waiting for (and hoping to get paid off) with premium hands.
If you have 2 other agressive players, your in for some serious trouble.
I think early when blinds are so cheap you limp in with anything that can become a monster and rake in the chips if you win the pot... raise every half decent hand and play tough on the flop when you get a caller or two.
be the maniac... people will see you play alot of hands and they'll call you and pay you off when you have that big hand...
I know I used to do that...
Making a small raise is terrible. Can you see why?