Here is a GOOD Pokerstars bad beat story...
This was the final hand of a 180 man sit & go tourney... Heads up, and i get A2 in the SB... I was on the beating side of the bad beat... so that was good. This guy was raising with crap hands constantly, so I didn't imagine he had anything when he raised me...
PokerStars Game #10106858824: Tournament #51218630, $4.00+$0.40 Hold'em No Limit - Level XIV (1500/3000) - 2007/05/26 - 00:59:46 (ET)
Table '51218630 8' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 4: Ikone (84034 in chips)
Seat 9: AcesRUs99 (185966 in chips)
Ikone: posts the ante 150
AcesRUs99: posts the ante 150
AcesRUs99: posts small blind 1500
Ikone: posts big blind 3000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to AcesRUs99 [2s Ah]
AcesRUs99: calls 1500
Ikone: raises 18000 to 21000
AcesRUs99: raises 164816 to 185816 and is all-in
I am expecting him to fold at this point... BUT...
Ikone: calls 62884 and is all-in
WOW... I was astonished...
*** FLOP *** [6d Qs Ts]
Here is the point where my stomach starts turning...
Maybe I have misread this guy and made a stupid move?
THEN comes the turn...
*** TURN *** [6d Qs Ts] [2h]
THEN... the river comes... and what a river!
*** RIVER *** [6d Qs Ts 2h] [2c]
So... Unless he has QQ, TT, or 66... I am golden...
The cards flip up... and...
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Ikone: shows [Jc Ac] (a pair of Deuces)
AcesRUs99: shows [2s Ah] (three of a kind, Deuces)
AcesRUs99 said, "gg"
AcesRUs99 collected 168068 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 168068 | Rake 0
Board [6d Qs Ts 2h 2c]
Seat 4: Ikone (big blind) showed [Jc Ac] and lost with a pair of Deuces
Seat 9: AcesRUs99 (button) (small blind) showed [2s Ah] and won (168068) with three of a kind, Deuces
I finished first place... and it felt good to finally be on the good side of one of these bad beats... LOL
___________________
My 2 cents!
http://www.winatpokernow.com
PokerStars Game #10106858824: Tournament #51218630, $4.00+$0.40 Hold'em No Limit - Level XIV (1500/3000) - 2007/05/26 - 00:59:46 (ET)
Table '51218630 8' 9-max Seat #9 is the button
Seat 4: Ikone (84034 in chips)
Seat 9: AcesRUs99 (185966 in chips)
Ikone: posts the ante 150
AcesRUs99: posts the ante 150
AcesRUs99: posts small blind 1500
Ikone: posts big blind 3000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to AcesRUs99 [2s Ah]
AcesRUs99: calls 1500
Ikone: raises 18000 to 21000
AcesRUs99: raises 164816 to 185816 and is all-in
I am expecting him to fold at this point... BUT...
Ikone: calls 62884 and is all-in
WOW... I was astonished...
*** FLOP *** [6d Qs Ts]
Here is the point where my stomach starts turning...
Maybe I have misread this guy and made a stupid move?
THEN comes the turn...
*** TURN *** [6d Qs Ts] [2h]
THEN... the river comes... and what a river!
*** RIVER *** [6d Qs Ts 2h] [2c]
So... Unless he has QQ, TT, or 66... I am golden...
The cards flip up... and...
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Ikone: shows [Jc Ac] (a pair of Deuces)
AcesRUs99: shows [2s Ah] (three of a kind, Deuces)
AcesRUs99 said, "gg"
AcesRUs99 collected 168068 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 168068 | Rake 0
Board [6d Qs Ts 2h 2c]
Seat 4: Ikone (big blind) showed [Jc Ac] and lost with a pair of Deuces
Seat 9: AcesRUs99 (button) (small blind) showed [2s Ah] and won (168068) with three of a kind, Deuces
I finished first place... and it felt good to finally be on the good side of one of these bad beats... LOL
___________________
My 2 cents!
http://www.winatpokernow.com
Comments
I call BS! :bs: On PStars the cards flip up the moment you are both all in. NH.
/g2
how much was the winnings?
It was a 180 man s&g, and the prize was $216.00
___________________
My 2 cents!
http://www.winatpokernow.com
___________________
My 2 cents!
http://www.winatpokernow.com
but what are the chances of that
Weeeeellllll.... since you asked...
there are 1,326 possible starting hands in hold 'em... ignoring suit.
So 16 of these are a-2 suited. Once you are dealt the [2s Ah], there are only 1225 possible combinations he can be dealt. Of these 1225, 9 hands are Ac,d, or s, and 2h, d, or c.
There is a 9/1225 chance he will be dealt an A2.
Therefore, assuming you are already dealth Ah, 2s, the chances of the villian being dealt the same hand is 0.007347 or 0.73% of the time
That chances of 2 people heads up being dealt any two exact same hands.. is too complicated for my 3:00pm on a thursday head to figure out.. because depending on the hand you are dealt the odds of somebody getting that hand change (ie. there are only 6 combinations of each pocket pair, but 16 combinations of each non-pocket pair)... well I guess I could work it out...
let's see...
so the odds of it happening to non pocket pairs is 0.007347, and there are 1248 of those hands.... there are 78 of the pocket pair hands...
the chances of someone being dealt the same pocket pair is 0.002449.
sooooo....
I'm going to put those two odds together, weighted by the number of times each of them could happen... and here's the final number
It will happen on average 0.7059 % of the time.
I think that makes sense.. since it is more likely to happen when you are dealt non-pocket pairs.. than when you have a pocket pair...
(1248 is 94.1176% of 1326, and 78 is 5.8824% of 1326... So 0.7347 will be the odds 94.12% of the time and 0.2449 will be the odds 5.88% of the time)
not bad! lol.
so not very likely right?
am I warm or cold?
Some people have no life...... LOL
Yep... not bad for a $4.40 buy in and a few hours of my life...
Thanks