NCAA March Madness Pool 2023 - $20

moose

https://picks.cbssports.com/college-basketball/ncaa-tournament/bracket/pools/kbxw63b2gy3tanzwgyza====?pool-join-key=613i0f23pn4e6zrwml92uv5mo8bxqhxz&invited-by=ivxhi4tzhiytamrtgqydsnby&via-medium=copy&ttag=FF22_lk_cbssports_cbb_bpm_copySetupInvite

Group password is kw (use invite link above)

Entry Deadline is 11 am Mar. 16 - you must submit your picks online through the link above and pay me in person or via emt in advance. emt not accepted after 12 noon.

$20

PM for emt info.

Scoring is:
0 pts for playin games
1 pt round of 32
2 pt round of 16
3 pt round of 8
4 pt final 4
5 pt finalists
6 pt champion

Tie breaker is total points scored in final.

Paid
1. moose
2. Trigs
3. STG
4. Grail
5. Moose311
6. Datamn
7. thisorthat
8. Gayle
9. acidjoe
10.

Entry Deadline is 11 am Mar. 16

Pd. (not entered)
1.

Not Paid
1.
2.
3.
4.

Prize Distribution
< 10 WTA
10-15 80/20
> 15 60/30/10

trigs

I'm in. I'll give you the $20 on Saturday.

moose311

When I try to join the group, it says "Whoops! Wrong link. Ask your pool manager for an invite from their pool's 'Invite Friends' tab."

moose

Try this link

https://picks.cbssports.com/college-basketball/ncaa-tournament/bracket/pools/kbxw63b2haydomjzgiya====?pool-join-key=6p3o0t2zpw4p6rrlma9uuh5yolb7q3x0&invited-by=ivxhi4tzhiytenjqg4ytcnrv&via-medium=copy&ttag=FF23_lk_cbssports_cbb_bpm_copySetupInvite

AcidJoe

I am in. DM EMT payment info

thisORthat

intrigued DM sent

AcidJoe

DM sent

thisORthat

hmmm not certain if this one of those 'secret ballot' type things;
not exactly the "Monty Carlo method'---picked mainly longshots against all strangeness (odds wordplay)?

moose

20 min warning.

moose

Looks like we hit 10 entries this year so will be paying top 2

Oops only 9, counted myself twice. WINNER TAKE ALL!

moose

My bracket is busted already!

compuease

Can we follow along anywhere if if we're not in?

thisORthat

moose;c-423714 wroteMy bracket is busted already!

Princeton vs AZ was a major 15 vs 2 upset for my bracket. One of the only picks where I went with the odds.

DataMn

compuease;c-423715 wroteCan we follow along anywhere if if we're not in?

I'll post my usual updates starting after today, when half the games will have been played.
I'll start with simulations ('flip a coin method'), and then once the weekend is done and there is only 32,768 possibilities left then I can start to post more in-depth scenarios

DataMn

In the meantime, if you flipped a coin for the remainder of the games, here is the equity for each player...
Steve 30.27%
Joe 18.44%
Allen 13.04%
Joanne 9.98%
Gayle 9.38%
Henri 7.63%
Kevin 6.29%
Rob 3.52%
Jamie 1.45%

DataMn

After Day 2... Joe got hurt the most by the Purdue loss
After 10M simulations (coin flip method)
Steve 27.85%
Allen 17.68%
Gayle 15.98%
Joe 12.56%
Joanne 10.93%
Kevin 6.18%
Rob 5.62%
Henri 2.13%
Jamie 1.07%

DataMn

The real stats for those following at home...
Name/Points/Max Possible
Allen 25/97
Steve 24/105
Kevin 24/96
Joanne 23/97
Rob 23/97
Joe 23/87
Gayle 22/104
Jamie 20/94
Henri 18/56

compuease

Al, I really admire your brain that you can do all this. It makes by head ache to even think of it.

By the way when you go to your Scrabble competition, whenever that is, is there a way for us to follow along?

DataMn

After the Kansas loss, we have lost some players...
After 6M simulations (coin-flip method)
Steve 50.31%
Allen 21.60%
Rob 11.50%
Gayle 5.62%
Joe 4.45%
Joanne 3.48%
Henri 3.04%

I can't guarantee that Kevin and Jamie have been eliminated, but after 6M simulations no path has been found for victory.

DataMn

compuease;c-423725 wroteBy the way when you go to your Scrabble competition, whenever that is, is there a way for us to follow along?

There will be some coverage on Twitch, but it will most likely only be the top tables, so it is doubtful I will be in one of those games unless I am put there by random in the first couple of rounds.

I will post the link to follow the standings here just before the tournament.