Wetts1012;336831 wroteDecision is based purely on river bet size.
What I felt he had up to that point is irrelevant.
Why, the hand doesn’t begin on the river?
Let’s say he checks top pair King kicker.
What is wrong with the play that he is hoping to check raise you on the flop and end it right there, but you didn’t obligate and checked. At this point he is 90% sure he has the best hand.
Turn brings 4 to the flush and he bets 80 to find out where he is at. You call and to the river we go.
Now it brings into play a runner runner flush for both players and a paired board. He may still think his AK is good because there is no way he thinks you are in the hand for runner runner so he doesn’t even consider you for the flush. Chance of you getting quads, he isn’t worried about that either.
The over bet suggests two things.
1) He still thinks his hand is best regardless of the paired board.
2) He decided he missed his hand like a King Queen and checked the flop. Turn comes now he begins to represent a hand, strength by checking the flop after pre raising. AK, K Qh Jh 10h and any pair JJ QQ , Jh 10h thinks he’s picked up a flush draw. The defensive bet on river he is hoping you fold or re-raise. If you re-raise and he doesn’t have the boat he is folding 100% of the time. If you call and he is wrong (AK, K Qh Jh 10h any pair) he tried and maybe is kicking himself for not getting a bet in on the flop to get more info on what you might be playing. 2000 chips left second level he still has room to play has room to play.