The Prophet 22;342017 wrote
As far as your comments about being 23, I realize that but Harper and Trout are even younger. I do think Lawrie is the real deal. I just expect a few more HRs from a guy at 3rd base.
EE to hit 25 HR is a bit of a stretch considering prior to this year he has only done it once in his career going all the way back to A ball.
I set the number at 86 games, are you taking the over Chris? I will also set the over/under at 91.5 for the AL playoffs. Again, you taking the over/under, I will go 20.00 on each!
a) Trout and Harper are 5 star blue chip prospects. The Jays have never had one of their ilk.
b) In fact if you extrapolate EE's stats to the 542 AB's he got last year to every year he has played previously he would have averaged 24 HR and 78 RBI for his previous 7 MLB seasons. Note that average does not include his gaudy numbers from last season.
c) I will take the over 86, but it's a fools game. Set some odds with the following parameters based on health and I will be happier to put my money up.
- Buerhle, Johnson and Morrow start at least 28 games each or a total of 90 combined.
- Bautista plays 140+ games. Reyes, Cabrera, Encarnacion, Lawrie are DL'd for no more than 30 days in any one case or 100 days combined.