Wanita1;224866 wrote
To me it seemed absolutely insane to fold, but now considering 3 in a pot I realize that each would only likely risk the entire stack if they had a straight as well or a set. If the guy holding the set started with a pocket pair then he would have 11 outs to beat me which is very good. If both held sets I would be a long shot to have the straight hold up. This is not even considering the possibility of one hitting a flush. Early in a tournament is it worth the risk to lose the entire stack? Being as the hand has failed me often I think maybe not. Still I am very undecided.
Wrong, and your evidence is below. You are, long term, a favourite based on the math. Even if they were to make those bets, and show you their cards, you would be making a huge mistake if you folded. The fact that, on these three occasions, you were outdrawn does not change anything. If you stick around the Forum long enough, you will discover that Wetts just a little bit decent at this game, as are a few of the others who have commented. The fact that everyone is trying to tell you that your actions were correct, and you keep on insisting otherwise, makes me wonder what it would take to convince you . . . and, if you cannot be swayed, why bother to ask in the first place?
Wetts1012;224998 wrote
Assuming youre vs. 2 sets, you are a 70% fav.
Assuming youre vs. a FD and a set, you are 40% fav.
In both cases, you have more than enough equity to make a call a no brainer.
Remember, we do not play in a vacuum. Individual hand results are irrelevant. The results of 3 hands where you lost are irrelevant. The results of 100 hands where you lost are irrelevant.
What is relevant is that with worst case scenario information you are making a profitable play statistically.