Odds check-up: Why does he fold?

I was railing the nightly 100k when this came up: I just need a check-up on my thinking, which is that, considering the price he's getting, shouldn't lilholdem be forced to call this shove?

PokerStars Game #39512124288: Tournament #284011042, $150+$12 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level X (300/600) - 2010/02/09 23:34:37 ET
Table '284011042 81' 9-max Seat #7 is the button
Seat 1: VLs85s (20419 in chips)
Seat 2: _theLillois_ (26948 in chips)
Seat 4: Unbreakable2 (14623 in chips)
Seat 5: lilholdem954 (61245 in chips)
Seat 6: tdrot (8275 in chips)
Seat 7: Timizzle (11966 in chips)
Seat 8: Tmay420 (11452 in chips)
Seat 9: pghchipstack (8164 in chips)
VLs85s: posts the ante 50
_theLillois_: posts the ante 50
Unbreakable2: posts the ante 50
lilholdem954: posts the ante 50
tdrot: posts the ante 50
Timizzle: posts the ante 50
Tmay420: posts the ante 50
pghchipstack: posts the ante 50
Tmay420: posts small blind 300
pghchipstack: posts big blind 600
*** HOLE CARDS ***
VLs85s: folds
_theLillois_: raises 600 to 1200
Unbreakable2: folds
lilholdem954: raises 2575 to 3775
tdrot: folds
Timizzle: raises 8141 to 11916 and is all-in
Tmay420: folds
pghchipstack: folds
_theLillois_: folds
lilholdem954: folds
Uncalled bet (8141) returned to Timizzle
Timizzle collected 10050 from pot
Timizzle: doesn't show hand
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot 10050 | Rake 0
Seat 1: VLs85s folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: _theLillois_ folded before Flop
Seat 4: Unbreakable2 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: lilholdem954 folded before Flop
Seat 6: tdrot folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: Timizzle (button) collected (10050)
Seat 8: Tmay420 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 9: pghchipstack (big blind) folded before Flop

Pot is 18,191 and lilholdem has to call 8141 more..
so he's is getting 2.23 to 1 on a call, amirite?

Or does this pertain more to cash games than mtts?

(Also, for those who don't know, lilholdem954 crushes mtts)

Comments

  • maybe he was playing the 2,7 game and didnt wanna get pwnt?

    he was defenitly committed...
  • lol, makes that fold, then I see him do this:

    PokerStars Game #39513030167: Tournament #284011042, $150+$12 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XII (500/1000) - 2010/02/10 0:09:27 ET
    Table '284011042 76' 9-max Seat #6 is the button
    Seat 1: JeanGrae (12786 in chips)
    Seat 2: menyomomz (26725 in chips)
    Seat 3: MiguelPiper (42418 in chips)
    Seat 4: jacobazzi (4971 in chips)
    Seat 5: lulopoker (6581 in chips)
    Seat 6: Hikkespett (31417 in chips)
    Seat 7: lilholdem954 (73682 in chips)
    Seat 8: pavi831 (10973 in chips)
    Seat 9: mendieta19 (46169 in chips)
    JeanGrae: posts the ante 100
    menyomomz: posts the ante 100
    MiguelPiper: posts the ante 100
    jacobazzi: posts the ante 100
    lulopoker: posts the ante 100
    Hikkespett: posts the ante 100
    lilholdem954: posts the ante 100
    pavi831: posts the ante 100
    mendieta19: posts the ante 100
    lilholdem954: posts small blind 500
    pavi831: posts big blind 1000
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    mendieta19: raises 1375 to 2375
    JeanGrae: folds
    menyomomz: folds
    MiguelPiper: folds
    jacobazzi: folds
    lulopoker: folds
    Hikkespett: folds
    lilholdem954: raises 71207 to 73582 and is all-in
    pavi831: folds
    mendieta19: calls 43694 and is all-in
    Uncalled bet (27513) returned to lilholdem954
    *** FLOP *** [8s 7d Kd]
    *** TURN *** [8s 7d Kd] [2c]
    *** RIVER *** [8s 7d Kd 2c] [7s]
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    lilholdem954: shows [9d 7c] (three of a kind, Sevens)
    mendieta19: shows [As Jc] (a pair of Sevens)
    lilholdem954 collected 94038 from pot
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 94038 | Rake 0
    Board [8s 7d Kd 2c 7s]
    Seat 1: JeanGrae folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 2: menyomomz folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 3: MiguelPiper folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 4: jacobazzi folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 5: lulopoker folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 6: Hikkespett (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 7: lilholdem954 (small blind) showed [9d 7c] and won (94038) with three of a kind, Sevens
    Seat 8: pavi831 (big blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 9: mendieta19 showed [As Jc] and lost with a pair of Sevens
  • in chat he says he's shoving every hand bc he wants to lose.....and he actually is lol:

    PokerStars Game #39513248307: Tournament #284011042, $150+$12 USD Hold'em No Limit - Level XII (500/1000) - 2010/02/10 0:18:00 ET
    Table '284011042 76' 9-max Seat #4 is the button
    Seat 1: JeanGrae (24472 in chips)
    Seat 2: menyomomz (24625 in chips)
    Seat 3: MiguelPiper (67913 in chips)
    Seat 4: jacobazzi (2871 in chips)
    Seat 5: lulopoker (4981 in chips)
    Seat 6: Hikkespett (30817 in chips)
    Seat 7: lilholdem954 (91170 in chips)
    Seat 8: pavi831 (8873 in chips)
    Seat 9: bygraceinga (22969 in chips)
    JeanGrae: posts the ante 100
    menyomomz: posts the ante 100
    MiguelPiper: posts the ante 100
    jacobazzi: posts the ante 100
    lulopoker: posts the ante 100
    Hikkespett: posts the ante 100
    lilholdem954: posts the ante 100
    pavi831: posts the ante 100
    bygraceinga: posts the ante 100
    lulopoker: posts small blind 500
    Hikkespett: posts big blind 1000
    *** HOLE CARDS ***
    lilholdem954: raises 90070 to 91070 and is all-in
    pavi831: folds
    bygraceinga: folds
    JeanGrae: folds
    menyomomz: folds
    MiguelPiper: folds
    jacobazzi: folds
    lulopoker: calls 4381 and is all-in
    Hikkespett: folds
    Uncalled bet (86189) returned to lilholdem954
    lilholdem954 said, "GOOD I AM BANNING 1 MONTH AFTER I BUST THIS SO NO FTOPS."
    *** FLOP *** [8h 5c 3h]
    *** TURN *** [8h 5c 3h]
    *** RIVER *** [8h 5c 3h Td] [3c]
    lilholdem954 said, "NOOOOOOOOOOO"
    *** SHOW DOWN ***
    lulopoker: shows [As 6h] (a pair of Threes)
    lilholdem954: shows [Tc 2h] (two pair, Tens and Threes)
    lilholdem954 collected 11662 from pot
    *** SUMMARY ***
    Total pot 11662 | Rake 0
    Board [8h 5c 3h Td 3c]
    Seat 1: JeanGrae folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 2: menyomomz folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 3: MiguelPiper folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 4: jacobazzi (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 5: lulopoker (small blind) showed [As 6h] and lost with a pair of Threes
    Seat 6: Hikkespett (big blind) folded before Flop
    Seat 7: lilholdem954 showed [Tc 2h] and won (11662) with two pair, Tens and Threes
    Seat 8: pavi831 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
    Seat 9: bygraceinga folded before Flop (didn't bet)
  • I watched a few of Chad's videos and they were just crazy.
  • actyper wrote: »
    I watched a few of Chad's videos and they were just crazy.

    What site?
  • i can empathize with these lines of play...
  • and the dude ships 2nd for almost 18k...

    luckbox.
  • Yeah, math is right for the guy in the first post. Not that that ever stopped anyone from making bad folds
  • jdAA88 wrote: »
    What site?

    realpokertraining.com
  • I would think that the guy was trying to steal and folded because he did not want anyone to see the cards that he 3 bet with. I think someone has said similar.
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