Very Evil 3rd in a SnG (for opponent)
Kind of a strange chip situation that I thought I could exploit while it lasted in terms of stealing some from 2nd place guy (until knocking out the shall we say small chipped 3rd place guy). End result was a bit unexpected, and I think the fellow who finished 2nd was satisfied by the turn of events
PokerStars Game #17264933567: Tournament #87497223, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit -
Level VII (100/200) - 2008/05/07 - 13:32:21 (ET)
Table '87497223 1' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: ayko2003 (3011 in chips)
Seat 3: Catimecoder (9 in chips)
Seat 8: Monteroy (10480 in chips)
ayko2003: posts the ante 25
Catimecoder: posts the ante 9 and is all-in
Monteroy: posts the ante 25
Monteroy: posts small blind 100
ayko2003: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Monteroy [Js 2s]
Monteroy: raises 10255 to 10455 and is all-in
ayko2003: calls 2786 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (7469) returned to Monteroy
*** FLOP *** [Ts Ks 2h]
*** TURN *** [Ts Ks 2h] [Tc]
*** RIVER *** [Ts Ks 2h Tc] [8c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Monteroy: shows [Js 2s] (two pair, Tens and Deuces)
ayko2003: shows [Qh Ah] (a pair of Tens)
Monteroy collected 6004 from side pot
Catimecoder: shows [Th 3c] (three of a kind, Tens)
Catimecoder collected 27 from main pot
I managed to win the heads up with a 13,473 to 27 chip advantage!
PokerStars Game #17264933567: Tournament #87497223, $10+$1 Hold'em No Limit -
Level VII (100/200) - 2008/05/07 - 13:32:21 (ET)
Table '87497223 1' 9-max Seat #3 is the button
Seat 1: ayko2003 (3011 in chips)
Seat 3: Catimecoder (9 in chips)
Seat 8: Monteroy (10480 in chips)
ayko2003: posts the ante 25
Catimecoder: posts the ante 9 and is all-in
Monteroy: posts the ante 25
Monteroy: posts small blind 100
ayko2003: posts big blind 200
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Monteroy [Js 2s]
Monteroy: raises 10255 to 10455 and is all-in
ayko2003: calls 2786 and is all-in
Uncalled bet (7469) returned to Monteroy
*** FLOP *** [Ts Ks 2h]
*** TURN *** [Ts Ks 2h] [Tc]
*** RIVER *** [Ts Ks 2h Tc] [8c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Monteroy: shows [Js 2s] (two pair, Tens and Deuces)
ayko2003: shows [Qh Ah] (a pair of Tens)
Monteroy collected 6004 from side pot
Catimecoder: shows [Th 3c] (three of a kind, Tens)
Catimecoder collected 27 from main pot
I managed to win the heads up with a 13,473 to 27 chip advantage!
Comments
Reality was that guy was just bad who used his check/fold call any preset buttons ( I eventually just min raised him whenever it was blind on blind and got about 7 of 9 blinds that way), but lets pretend a solid player was in that second place spot.
You know the guy with 10k will shove literally any 2, and he will keep doing this as long as guy with 9 chips is alive. What hands do you actually call?
Though he did not put any contextual thought into the situation, I do not think his call was that horrible in concept as the only way he really loses out is the unlikely scenario where the small chipper finishes 1st and I finish 2nd in the hand, and odds are he is a 2-1ish favorite over me.
I probably fold the AQ, but I can see how it would get annoying if the small chipper won a couple in a row as well.
there is some math behind this... hmmm, involving icm and the increase in payouts from 3rd to 2nd and your range vs his hand... and the fact that he is going to need some chips if he hopes to have a reasonable chance to beat you HU...
i know on the bubble this is a clear fold but here i'm leaning towards a call.
blondefish, where are you?
Didn't you just say the exact opposite in the JJ bubble thread?
edit: oh, it's 9max maybe the jumps make it different (thought it was 6max)
i was thinking 9-handed sngs for both.
on bubble, AQ would be a fold for sure IF YOUR OPPONENT PUSHED in front of you. in the other post, he raised in front but it wasn't clear if that was a pot-committing raise. my point was you may have some fold equity there, depending on his range. and QQ should push regardless.
plus as my backup, JJ>AQ anyway...
oh, was someone else, sry -- all u KW guys look the same to me
Assuming that the prize structure is $45/$27/$18 and without doing any ICM calculations, my intuition/feel was the same as pkrfce9; I thought that the BB made the correct call with A-Q soooted since there is only $9 difference between 2nd and 3rd place. By the way, a lower raise by the SB would have been better than risking almost 3,000 chips on an all-in with only 359 chips in the pot.
P.S. Using ICM analysis, BB needed an equity of 74% to make calling correct. :-[ TBC....
I got a bit caught up in the utter silliness of the stack sizes and lost sight of that, but I am going to cling to some results based thinking and say based on that it was the correct play
Also my cards were suited...
I would be interested in seeing a mathematical breakdown of the hand range to call if possible for this scenario (assuming normal level of play skill). Payouts are indeed 45 27 and 18
i have an even better example where I made the 2nd place player lose to the player that was sitting out (6max)...good times...will post later
buddy, can you post the math behind this and maybe the link to the website that you use for the icm calcs? thanks
- That the only really bad scenario is what happened, the small chipper has to win for their to be a payout difference.
- The increased chance of winning heads up after a successful double up