Right Fold/Wrong Fold?
Hand History Posting and Rakeback
A little background...2nd orbit at table, no reads/stats on any player (because I have played on FTP exclusively in terms of cash game for the past 3 months). Hero has been extremely active (with legit hands) but has gone without showdown (overpair, set, two pair).
Comment on the fold?
A little background...2nd orbit at table, no reads/stats on any player (because I have played on FTP exclusively in terms of cash game for the past 3 months). Hero has been extremely active (with legit hands) but has gone without showdown (overpair, set, two pair).
Comment on the fold?
Comments
If it's HU with the shortstacker I snap it. Im guessing he came in light (KQ / Ax)?
we 3 bet. full stack 4 bets. shortie shoves and action is to us with the full stack behind who 4 bet us is yet to act.
fold
First I would consider the 4 bettors range here and I would think QQ+,AK pretty much covers it. Maybe you could throw JJ in there too. (I know he showed up with less)
I wouldn't chuck any bluffs in there because it is a bad spot for one.
You only fold out the JJ and QQ maybe if you shove so you are in bad shape against his calling range which is why I would fold.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
4,235,629,860 games 6.798 secs 623,070,000 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.458% 29.52% 05.94% 1250406660 251452405.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 32.271% 28.40% 03.87% 1202994624 163890773.50 { 99+, AJs+, AJo+ }
Hand 2: 32.271% 28.40% 03.87% 1202994624 163890773.50 { 99+, AJs+, AJo+ }
/g2
Me, I probably fold, but that would depend on my read of the player "DesEsseintes".
The short stack only has $4 invested when he pushes, another thing to consider. He raised and has been re-raised, and re-re-raised, and still pushed.
Nothing wrong with folding... don't be too results-oriented here.... But buddy-list those donks FOR SURE!!!!
Why? So he can be pushed off the best hand again? How are they donks exactly? They got him to fold.
And when I say don't fold, I mean shove as your next move. You have some fold equity if you place yourself in DesEsseintes shoes.
Given that you have "been extremely active" and you have AK in a 6-max table, it is even less likely that DesEsseintes' re-raise means AA or KK. Folding your $12 is not a bad option since you will probably get to see what the two players are re-reraising with. Without reads, it is such a close decision that I keep changing my mind, but my final answer is:
I would re-raise DesEsseintes all-in to $105.80, transferring the difficult decision on him.
OP has no reads... Until you have such reads, it is -ev to assume a 5-betting range includes AJo. Now you know. If villian(s) continues to play this way... Follow him around and ride the variance train.
Blondefish, I think your pot odds calculation is off... When hero has the decision for $46.70, there is only 107.7 in the pot (numero's $58.70, your $12, dese's $36, and BB of $1). So you are only getting 2.3 to 1, or 30% break-even equity.
Also, I agree with caddy. I think range is far too wide with no reads. If you adjust the range taking into account, perhaps numero thinks you are agressive, and is trying to isolate SB, but the SB you would think has a decent hand for sure. You no longer have the odds to make that move:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.500% 22.11% 06.39% 280031493 80939374.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 37.653% 31.07% 06.58% 393569718 83339822.50 { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 2: 33.847% 33.21% 00.64% 420602541 8093747.50 { 99+, AQs, AQo }
I'd say to just go for it and if it's vs AA and KK start doing your diamond flop dance.
1. the decision to you is for your last $83, anything calculating pot odds like all your money isn't going is in ridiculous, this is a push/fold decision and while there's an outside chance the reraiser might hero fold to a push, you're getting called close to 100% of the time.
2. This is not some big 3-way pot. Half your money is going in a side pot heads up against the cold 4-better who obviously has the much stronger range. This is bad for your equity.
3. Haven't played 100 NL in a while but I kinda doubt he 4-bettor has a range wider than QQ+, AK, and it might even be weighted more towards the big pairs.
A voice of reason... Thank-you!
[X] Made my day
The only reason I calculated the odds of the call, is because I was correcting Blondefish's original calculation. Obviously it makes little sense to call in a situation where you'd clearly be pot commited. I wasn't saying it was a good idea to call. Clearly a push or fold situation.
Personally, I would likely fold in this situation. You can lose a lot of money with AK if you don't improve. More than likely, one of the other two players has a pair, and if you are facing a bigger pair (which is likely with this action), you are dominated.
I don't like bingo poker in a cash game (i.e. all-in pre-flop). Your time is better spent trying to improve your post flop game.