DataMn
Equities after the first 2 games on Thursday...
If Gonzaga and Purdue wins...
Gayle $75.86
Igor $48.84
Steve $39.96
Rob $38.64
Joey $32.13
Peter $9.88
Roger $8.91
Andrew $3.54
Joe $1.45
Allen $0.41
Tanner $0.33
Prophet $0.06
If Gonzaga and Tennessee win...
Gayle $61.65
Igor $61.55
Joey $44.92
Rob $43.17
Steve $32.31
Peter $10.20
Andrew $2.57
Joanne $1.51
Roger $1.05
Allen $0.98
Joe $0.06
Tanner $0.03
If Florida State and Purdue win...
Steve $108.20
Gayle $79.62
Igor $31.41
Joey $13.08
Rob $9.03
Prophet $7.66
Roger $4.47
Peter $3.89
Andrew $2.44
Allen $0.12
Tanner $0.07
if Florida State and Tennessee win...
Steve $90.74
Gayle $64.73
Igor $52.91
Joey $26.53
Rob $16.90
Peter $4.10
Andrew $1.92
Joanne $1.12
Roger $0.80
Allen $0.23
Prophet $0.01
Tanner $0.01
DataMn
There are some weird coincidences at the top.
Even though Gayle chose Gonzaga, it is actually better for her equity wise if Florida State wins - even though that would propel Steve to 1st place.
Same with the fact that even though Steve chose Tennessee, if Florida State wins then it is in his best interest for Perdue to win (mainly due to the blow that Igor, Rob and Joey take since they had Tennessee in the final four).
woog30
Al, Thanks for doing that, crushing my Hope's again!
moose
DataMn;412160 wroteEquities after the first 2 games on Thursday...
If Gonzaga and Purdue wins...
Gayle $75.86
Igor $48.84
Steve $39.96
Rob $38.64
Joey $32.13
Peter $9.88
Roger $8.91
Andrew $3.54
Joe $1.45
Allen $0.41
Tanner $0.33
Prophet $0.06
If Gonzaga and Tennessee win...
Gayle $61.65
Igor $61.55
Joey $44.92
Rob $43.17
Steve $32.31
Peter $10.20
Andrew $2.57
Joanne $1.51
Roger $1.05
Allen $0.98
Joe $0.06
Tanner $0.03
If Florida State and Purdue win...
Steve $108.20
Gayle $79.62
Igor $31.41
Joey $13.08
Rob $9.03
Prophet $7.66
Roger $4.47
Peter $3.89
Andrew $2.44
Allen $0.12
Tanner $0.07
if Florida State and Tennessee win...
Steve $90.74
Gayle $64.73
Igor $52.91
Joey $26.53
Rob $16.90
Peter $4.10
Andrew $1.92
Joanne $1.12
Roger $0.80
Allen $0.23
Prophet $0.01
Tanner $0.01
So wait, regardless of what happens on Thurs, no-one's equity is reduced to zero, except of course Trigs who is already eliminated?
HAHA FU TRIGS!!!!!!!
trigs
Lol yeah I sucked it up on my bracket apparently :(
DataMn
No, that is not true. You'll notice that there are not 13 names listed for each scenario.
I just didn't stick it to them like I did to Trigs (yet ;-).
If Gonzaga and Purdue win... Joanne and TRIGS are out
If Gonzaga and Tennessee win... Prophet and TRIGS are out
If Florida State and Purdue win... Joanne, Joe and TRIGS are out
if Florida State and Tennessee win... Joe and TRIGS are out
And the listing is only after the first 2 games (I'll put out another equity update for the second 2).
The Prophet 22
That is why I wait for the games to be over to find out if I am out, to much math. I need Buffalo, Purdue to go far Gonzaga to lose, then I will start to have a little hope!
Trigs ... I won't say it.
DataMn
OK, Joanne has now joined Trigs in the loser's lounge.
Here are the scenarios for the 2nd half of Thursday...
Texas Tech and Virginia:
Steve $88.78
Rob $54.09
Gayle $51.58
Igor $31.78
Joey $14.00
Peter $7.79
Roger $7.01
Andrew $3.46
Joe $1.00
Allen $0.47
Tanner $0.03
Prophet $0.00
Texas Tech and Oregon:
Joey $56.61
Steve $56.57
Rob $56.34
Igor $42.31
Gayle $35.72
Roger $5.49
Peter $3.70
Andrew $2.54
Tanner $0.33
Prophet $0.25
Joe $0.15
Allen $0.00
Michigan and Virginia
Gayle $118.43
Igor $54.05
Rob $22.20
Peter $19.64
Roger $12.15
Steve $12.09
Joey $10.93
Andrew $4.94
Joe $4.23
Allen $1.17
Tanner $0.17
Prophet $0.00
Michigan and Oregon
Gayle $97.71
Igor $67.21
Joey $46.97
Rob $21.93
Roger $11.00
Peter $8.37
Andrew $3.21
Steve $2.42
Tanner $0.77
Joe $0.41
Allen $0.00
Prophet $0.00
SeekTheGrail
DataMn
Prophet is out now too.
I won't be home between the first and second set of games tonight, so here are all 16 scenarios.
Depending on the results, there will be anywhere from 6 to 10 participants still in.
This years 'hanging by a thread' award goes to Tanner. He needs all 11 remaining games to go a certain direction to win 2nd place.
LSU
UNC
Duke
Houston
---------
Rob $88.59
Steve $70.91
Igor $57.58
Gayle $13.75
Roger $11.38
Peter $10.99
Joey $2.58
Joe $2.11
Allen $1.17
Andrew $0.94
LSU
UNC
Duke
Kentucky
---------
Steve $97.19
Igor $76.72
Rob $35.00
Gayle $17.34
Roger $14.45
Peter $11.33
Andrew $6.09
Allen $0.94
Joe $0.94
LSU
UNC
Va Tech
Houston
---------
Rob $100.31
Steve $68.91
Igor $60.47
Gayle $23.75
Joey $2.81
Joe $1.88
Peter $1.41
Tanner $0.47
LSU
UNC
Va Tech
Kentucky
---------
Igor $99.38
Steve $90.94
Rob $30.78
Gayle $29.06
Andrew $6.09
Roger $1.88
Joe $0.94
Peter $0.94
LSU
Auburn
Duke
Houston
---------
Steve $101.12
Rob $54.38
Joey $44.22
Igor $30.00
Gayle $12.50
Peter $11.59
Roger $5.26
Allen $0.94
LSU
Auburn
Duke
Kentucky
---------
Steve $130.79
Igor $49.06
Rob $27.66
Joey $17.62
Gayle $16.09
Peter $12.36
Roger $5.25
Allen $0.70
Joe $0.47
LSU
Auburn
Va Tech
Houston
---------
Steve $95.78
Joey $75.31
Rob $48.13
Gayle $21.25
Igor $18.75
Peter $0.78
LSU
Auburn
Va Tech
Kentucky
---------
Steve $132.34
Igor $58.13
Joey $28.44
Gayle $24.69
Rob $15.94
Peter $0.47
Michigan St
UNC
Duke
Houston
---------
Rob $80.94
Gayle $73.20
Steve $54.35
Roger $20.13
Peter $16.61
Andrew $5.63
Igor $4.22
Joe $2.81
Allen $1.17
Joey $0.94
Michigan St
UNC
Duke
Kentucky
---------
Steve $78.83
Gayle $71.72
Rob $39.69
Roger $24.61
Peter $18.05
Igor $13.91
Andrew $11.33
Allen $0.94
Joe $0.94
Michigan St
UNC
Va Tech
Houston
---------
Rob $100.31
Gayle $89.06
Steve $49.30
Andrew $7.50
Igor $7.27
Joe $1.88
Joey $1.88
Peter $1.41
Roger $1.41
Michigan St
UNC
Va Tech
Kentucky
---------
Gayle $94.87
Steve $79.77
Rob $42.21
Igor $19.40
Andrew $16.88
Roger $5.00
Joe $0.94
Peter $0.94
Michigan St
Auburn
Duke
Houston
---------
Steve $81.55
Gayle $75.23
Rob $58.83
Peter $16.86
Joey $14.96
Roger $10.46
Joe $1.17
Allen $0.94
Michigan St
Auburn
Duke
Kentucky
---------
Steve $102.81
Gayle $76.72
Rob $34.92
Peter $19.22
Roger $12.11
Joey $7.42
Igor $4.69
Joe $0.94
Allen $0.70
Andrew $0.47
Michigan St
Auburn
Va Tech
Houston
---------
Gayle $88.20
Steve $79.53
Rob $71.33
Joey $18.59
Igor $0.94
Peter $0.94
Joe $0.47
Michigan St
Auburn
Va Tech
Kentucky
---------
Steve $106.41
Gayle $97.86
Rob $36.38
Joey $9.30
Igor $8.02
Peter $0.78
Andrew $0.47
Joe $0.47
Roger $0.31
compuease
Jeepers Al, I think I said this last year too... My head hurts thinking all that.. How do you do it...
DataMn
Database and computer program. Easy as pie ;-)
Here are the equities after results for Saturday...
We could still have 10 in at the end of the day, or we could lose as many as 6 more!
Roger - you're still sticking around like a bad penny again this year - and you can't be eliminated tomorrow!
Rob could have the most equity or could be eliminated tomorrow. Both games are very important to his chances!
Gonzaga
Virginia
Steve $78.65
Gayle $78.44
Rob $40.94
Peter $33.33
Roger $12.40
Joey $5.94
Joe $3.75
Allen $2.81
Andrew $1.88
Igor $1.88
Gonzaga
Purdue
Rob $91.25
Gayle $51.88
Steve $26.67
Peter $24.79
Roger $24.79
Joey $23.75
Igor $16.88
Texas Tech
Virginia
Steve $158.44
Gayle $86.56
Peter $11.25
Roger $3.75
Texas Tech
Purdue
Steve $147.50
Gayle $90.00
Peter $7.50
Rob $7.50
Roger $7.50
SeekTheGrail
Go TT Red Raiders! Yeah this video is a stretch name wise but it beats the Gangham style Texas Tech theme song!
https://youtu.be/vAm8rOHcYkI
DataMn
Congrats to Steve - after the Texas Tech win, he is now guaranteed to win money!
If Duke wins tomorrow Steve locks up first place!
If Duke loses, then everyone except for Gayle and Steve are locked out of the money.
Rob has to now hope for both Duke and Purdue to win in the Elite Eight, and then Duke to lose in the semis, and then win the tie-breaker over Gayle to get second place.
Peter gets second if both Virginia and Duke meet in the finals.
If Duke makes the finals but Virginia does not then Peter and Roger tie for 2nd place on points.
If Duke and Virginia win in the Elite Eight, but only Virginia makes the finals then Gayle locks up 2nd place.
If Michigan State wins the whole tournament then Gayle wins and Steve finishes second.
If Michigan State wins in the Elite Eight, and Virginia wins the whole tournament then Gayle wins and Steve finishes second -
EXCEPT if Auburn also wins in the Elite Eight and Michigan State makes the final - then Gayle and Steve tie and go to the tiebreaker.
If Michigan State and Kentucky win in the Elite Eight,
- Michigan State does not make the finals
- Virginia does not win the tournament
Then Steve wins and Gayle finishes second.
All other scenarios Gayle wins and Steve finishes second.
DataMn
NEW DEVELOPMENT:
I entered in Peter's overall winner pick wrong, so in the biggest slowroll of my life I'm back in it - although hanging by a (not unrealistic) thread.
If Duke wins today, Steven still locks up 1st place overall
- Since Steve was the only one that has a chance that picked either Kentucky or Auburn today that game has no effect on the prizes if Duke wins.
- If Duke wins today and Virginia wins the tournament overall then Peter finishes 2nd
- If Duke and Virginia meet in the finals and Duke wins the tournament then I finish 2nd
- If the winner of the Kentucky/Auburn game plays Duke in the finals and wins then Peter and Roger tie for 2nd
- If the winner of the Kentucky/Auburn game plays Duke in the finals and Duke wins then Roger gets 2nd outright
- All other scenarios involving Duke winning today have Gayle finishing in 2nd.
The same scenarios play out as written before if Duke loses today. Steve and Gayle lock everyone else out in that case.
SeekTheGrail
Well as I am 2/2 by posting videos ahead of time here let's go with a personal favourite of mine for Go Blue Devils!
https://youtu.be/i5txwFv-zYM
The Prophet 22
DataMn;412218 wroteNEW DEVELOPMENT:
The same scenarios play out as written before if Duke loses today. Steve and Gayle lock everyone else out in that case.
Great Job guys!
SeekTheGrail
Wow did I just see that crazy finish in the March Madness Virginia - Auburn game? 63-62 Hoos!
Back from the dead! ��*♂️ Closest I could come to a Virginia tribute song is this one!
Now need a Virginia win Monday night to win it all vs Gayle! Cheers, Steve ��
https://youtu.be/Ls8t1AcXN_o