DataMn
After the first 2 games on Thursday...
Chance of winning 1st place/Chance of winning 2nd place/Total
888 Scoring Scenarios Remaining:
Joey: 37.59%/13.24%/50.83%
Corey: 35.38%/16.78%/52.16%
Rob: 11.52%/18.77%/30.29%
Dan: 9.33%/21.99%/31.32%
Joanne: 3.9%/12.5%/16.4%
Joe: 1.84%/6.49%/8.33%
Ryan: 0.43%/0.85%/1.29%
Peter: 0.00%/5.07%/5.07%
Kevin: 0.00%/3.99%/3.99%
Andrew: 0.00%/0.23%/0.23%
Roger: 0.00%/0.09%/0.09%
DataMn
At the end of Thursday
Chance of winning 1st place/Chance of winning 2nd place/Total
388 Scoring Scenarios Remaining:
Joey: 48.67%/14.11%/62.78%
Corey: 20.79%/16.15%/36.94%
Rob: 19.16%/22.59%/41.75%
Dan: 6.14%/25.45%/31.59%
Joe: 2.41%/5.58%/7.99%
Joanne: 1.85%/4.42%/6.27%
Ryan: 0.99%/1.83%/2.81%
Kevin: 0.00%/9.13%/9.13%
Andrew: 0.00%/0.52%/0.52%
Roger: 0.00%/0.21%/0.21%
Peteski is now out of contention
DataMn
At the first two games on Friday
Chance of winning 1st place/Chance of winning 2nd place/Total
128 Scoring Scenarios Remaining:
Rob: 33.07%/19.66%/52.73%
Corey: 31.51%/26.82%/58.33%
Joey: 22.01%/14.84%/36.85%
Dan: 10.42%/15.36%/25.78%
Joanne: 2.99%/3.78%/6.77%
Kevin: 0.00%/14.71%/14.71%
Joe: 0.00%/5.33%/5.33%
Roger: 0.00%/0.65%/0.65%
Ryan and Andrew have now been eliminated
DataMn
At the end of Friday
Chance of winning 1st place/Chance of winning 2nd place/Total
36 Scoring Scenarios Remaining:
Joey: 52.31%/7.87%/60.19%
Rob: 25.00%/19.44%/44.44%
Corey: 20.37%/24.54%/44.91%
Joanne: 2.31%/6.48%/8.80%
Dan: 0.00%/27.78%/27.78%
Joe: 0.00%/12.5%/12.5%
Roger: 0.00%/1.39%/1.39%
Kevin has been eliminated
DataMn
Paths to Victory (1st place only):
Joey:
Texas Tech Wins QF
OR Michigan, Villanova, Duke all Win QF, Duke Wins SF
OR Villanova, Duke, Texas A&M All Win QF, Duke Wins SF, Duke Loses Final (3 Way Tie)
OR Villanova, Duke, Texas A&M All Win QF, Duke Wins SF, Duke Wins Final (2 Way Tie)
Rob:
Michigan, Villanova, Duke win QF, Villanova wins SF, Villanova Loses Final
OR Villanova, Kansas win QF, Villanova does not win Final
Corey:
Michigan wins QF, Villanova wins Final
OR Texas A&M, Villanova, Kansas win QF, Villanova wins Final
OR Texas A&M, Villanova, Duke win QF, Villanova wins SF
OR Texas A&M, Villanova, Duke win QF, Duke wins SF, Duke Loses Final (3 way tie)
Joanne:
Villanova, Duke, Texas A&M All Win QF, Duke Wins SF, Duke Loses Final (3 Way Tie)
OR Villanova, Duke, Texas A&M All Win QF, Duke Wins SF, Duke Wins Final (2 Way Tie)
And a bonus:
woog is actually on 1/2 outer status
Path to 2nd:
- Texas A&M, Villanova, Kansas all win QF
- Villanova wins the tournament
- beat Joe in the tiebreaker