Richard~;262678 wroteBluffing aside, does anyone know some percentages of how often you're dealt a better hand than a highcard, a better hand than a pair and a better hand than two pairs before the draw?
I'm having a little trouble getting my opening and calling ranges smooth, and I'm really in trouble in some 3bet pots.
Also, if you have a hand like AKJ105 after the button and the SB limps and you're in the BB, do you keep AKJ10 or AK?
to answer your second question first, i never chase gut shots in 5 card draw, so i'd be holding onto AK in that situation. i'll only chase open-ended straight draws. however, in 5 card draw, your actual cards are really not as important as how you represent them.
and here are the general 5 card draw odds:
Odds of being dealt specific hands before the draw.
- Any Pair – 2.3/1
- Pair Jacks or Better – 6.7/1
- Two Pairs – 20/1
- Trips – 46/1
- Straight – 254/1
- Flush – 508/1
- Full House – 693/1
- Quads – 4164/1
- Straight Flush – 64973/1
Calculating Odds Of Improving After The Draw.
There are a huge number of combinations of both starting hands and number of cards drawn. The basic rule for drawing is to count the number of ‘outs’ unseen cards that will improve your hand, and compare this to the total number of unseen cards. For example when drawing to a pair you have 47 unseen cards and 2 trip outs with the first card, the second card may then match the first giving you 2 pair and the 3rd may match either of the first 2. The probabilities would then be combined in a way to say ‘improve to trips or better’.
Common Drawing Odds In 5-Card Draw:
When Drawing 3 cards Holding A Pair
- Improving to 2 pairs – 5.3/1
- Improving to trips – 7.7/1
- Improving to A Full House – 97/1
- Improving to Quads – 359/1
When Drawing 2 Cards Holding Trips
- Improving to a Full House – 15.4/1
- Improving to Quads – 22.5/1
When Drawing One Card Holding 2 pairs
- Improving to A Full House – 10.7/1
When Drawing One Card Holding An Open Ended Straight or 4 Flush
- Improving to a Straight – 4.88/1
- Improving to a Flush – 4.22/1
When Drawing One Card To An Open Ended Straight Flush
- Improving to a Straight or a Flush – 2.33/1