Thread: Friday August 9th..... Casino Niagara.....

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  1. #16
    Administrator compuease's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by djgolfcan View Post
    Fortunately, at the time, I had $800 in front of me.
    Glad he didn't...
    If someone doesn't hate you, you're a wimp... comp: circa 2012.. and now 2013 as well, quite likely continuing into 2014, Now confirmed as CONTINUING well into 2014. Ah, f'it, 2015's just more of the same..

  2. #17
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    I did the math, I was a 98.21% favourite after the flop.

  3. #18
    High Roller. Bfillmaff's Avatar
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    Rookie move... never get it in with top set versus an underpair...

    It gives players like myself added incentive to hit this kind of disgusting back door runner runner type BS on you... which was basically a lock when you consider the implied "drawing vs dj" odds. Sorry about that.

  4. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by djgolfcan View Post
    I did the math, I was a 98.21% favourite after the flop.
    I think it might be less than that. We can leave it to @dataman but for it come exactly 6 6. Unless your @Bfillmaff.

    Those are the type of odds i get when i sign up for Mooses NCAA basketball pool.
    6 Time Winner on HPT, WCB 2018 Champ "cheers:

  5. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by woog30 View Post
    I think it might be less than that. We can leave it to @dataman but for it come exactly 6 6. Unless your @Bfillmaff.

    Those are the type of odds i get when i sign up for Mooses NCAA basketball pool.
    The actual odds can be easily calculated. After the flop there are 47 cards remaining, 2 of which are 6's. The odds of the turn being a 6 therefore are 2/47 or 4.2553%. After the turn 6 hits, the odds of the case 6 hitting the river are 1/46 (1 six left in the deck with 46 cards unaccounted for) or 2.1739%. To determine the odds of the runner runner 6's hitting you multiply the two percentages (4.2553% X 2.1739%), which comes out to 0.0925%. In other words, after the flop djgolfcan's odds of winning the hand were 99.75%. To put it another way, if you ran that scenario multiple times, dj would win 400 out of every 401 times.

  6. #21
    Full PFC Member DataMn's Avatar
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    I'm sorry to say, but there is some bad math above.

    First off, 0.0925% + 99.75% does not add up to 100%

    Secondly, you forgot the fact that to do the calculation then we know 2 6s are in opps hand,

    so it actually becomes 2/45 * 1/44 = 1 in 990 = 0.1010101%

    So, DJ actually had a 99.899% chance to win the hand.

    (If for some reason you don't believe me, go to the odds calculator on Card Player and run it with pocket Kings vs pocket 6s on a K-7-2 board - it will come out as 99.9% vs 0.1% since it is rounded to 1 decimal place).
    Last edited by DataMn; Aug 19,2019 at 03:58 PM. Reason: Poor phrasing
    One of us hunts donkeys...
    The other one plays one for a living.

  7. #22
    Administrator compuease's Avatar
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    F**k, DJ sure is unlucky.... I will be afraid to sit beside him at future events in case it rubs off.. Nicole, are you sure you want to keep such an unlucky bas**rd around?
    If someone doesn't hate you, you're a wimp... comp: circa 2012.. and now 2013 as well, quite likely continuing into 2014, Now confirmed as CONTINUING well into 2014. Ah, f'it, 2015's just more of the same..

  8. #23
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    DJ appears to be the unluckiest player in the world. That makes me the village idiot for putting a bounty on him all the time.

  9. #24
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    Quote Originally Posted by compuease View Post
    F**k, DJ sure is unlucky.... I will be afraid to sit beside him at future events in case it rubs off.. Nicole, are you sure you want to keep such an unlucky bas**rd around?
    His unluck was my luck on a hand where I took his stack

  10. #25
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    Quote Originally Posted by niks1 View Post
    His unluck was my luck on a hand where I took his stack

    Nicole, you are a very good poker player..... you don’t need luck. Your other half is another story.

    you keep winning to fund his “unlucky” losing play.

    You need to try a different teaching method.

  11. #26
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    Quote Originally Posted by Toronto Pimp View Post
    Nicole, you are a very good poker player..... you don’t need luck. Your other half is another story.

    you keep winning to fund his “unlucky” losing play.

    You need to try a different teaching method.
    LOL I fund nothing. I loan, that’s it. And always get paid back

  12. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by niks1 View Post
    His unluck was my luck on a hand where I took his stack
    He was wearing the yellow shirt, wasn't he? Forget math. It all makes sense now

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