chorchevel
Am I am playing more and more noticing how many people try to 3/4 bet shove with a "windowed" (The first card on the flop is what I call this) set, I used to do this and somewhat gave it up because really its still Omaha and more often than not against 80% of ranged hands are probably only my guess would be 65% which to get it in with 4 to come is not optimal.
I would like to hear others thoughts, for instance just as I play it, say you have 55KK7 2 suits, and the window is a 5....I don't get it in here just based on if your opp would have 46677 2 suits the chances he will make a set better than yours or straight leave too much to the chance to over-invest.
Am I overthinking this, I used to lose more than 50% of the time trying to get it in with a windowed set....Now course most know how unlucky I am but I feel this is a bad play actually.
I would like to hear others thoughts, for instance just as I play it, say you have 55KK7 2 suits, and the window is a 5....I don't get it in here just based on if your opp would have 46677 2 suits the chances he will make a set better than yours or straight leave too much to the chance to over-invest.
Am I overthinking this, I used to lose more than 50% of the time trying to get it in with a windowed set....Now course most know how unlucky I am but I feel this is a bad play actually.
Comments
I do an awful lot of calling 3 bets right now with wraps to the window and have a hit range of well over 40%, I am just ball parking, my question is more am I overthinking things.......and if your 65%-35% with 4 cards to play thats what the stat says, more often than not I know in my own personnal experience I do NOT win 65% of these scenarios that I get it in on one card!
5-Card Omaha Hi Simulation ?
202,540 trials (Exhaustive)
board: 5d
Hand Equity Wins Ties
5sks5hkh7 55.99% 112,009 2,783
4c6h6d7c7d 44.01% 87,748 2,783
It sounds like you are underthinking things as according to Moose's post you don't even know the odds in the game you are playing. I would work on understanding that first and then addressing the rest of your game...that's a huge leak.